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Hillary's Excellent Arguments for Fighting for Florida and Michigan

Hillary is not conceding seating Florida and Michigan by any stretch of the imagination. She is fighting as hard as ever. Here is the letter her campaign sent out today.
  • The Rules and Bylaws Committee has the authority to seat all of the delegates from Florida and Michigan with full votes.
  • Actual election results must control the allocation of Michigan's delegates.
  • Although they oppose any 50% solution, seating all the delegates with 1/2 vote is less harmful than seating 50% of the delegates and giving those 50% a full vote.
The campaign asks the committee to rule promptly rather than waiting for the Credentials committee to act.

Comments closed

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  • Display: Sort:
    Thanks Jeralyn....I was waiting for the voice of (5.00 / 8) (#1)
    by PssttCmere08 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:20:31 PM EST
    reason to chime in....GO HILLARY

    You mean (3.00 / 2) (#126)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:50:59 PM EST
    you were waiting for someone to say what you wanted to hear and what you agreed with.

    "1" me baby, I am waiting.

    Parent

    it is impossible to rate (5.00 / 1) (#157)
    by sancho on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:06:25 PM EST
    an incomprehensible statement. i too am glad to see hillary keeping up the pressure to count the votes. that's the only morally justifiable position to take regarding fl and mi. let the republicans keep the voter suppression tactic. i'll be glad to see obama come around. b/c then this fl. resident can think about voting for him.

    Parent
    The difference between (none / 0) (#174)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:18:11 PM EST
    Jeralyn and BTD is in interpretation, and one of them is correct...no matter who you are rooting for.

    Parent
    Here! Here! Cashmere (none / 0) (#160)
    by felizarte on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:07:04 PM EST
    and conversely, the reason COIGUE that you don't seem to like it. Hooray for Team Hillary!  It ain't over till it's over!  I would like this contest to be decided at the convention.  Everything that Hillary has done so far is to preserve that option for her.  Let's wait for Puerto Rico, S. Dakota and Montana.  Then the convention.  In between, I hope to hear more from Trinity UCC.

    Parent
    Hey. I love Hil!. (5.00 / 1) (#172)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:16:49 PM EST
    I am no hyperpartisan. I just ask people to back up their assertions. Psst doesn't like that....or anything that specifically isn't rah rah Hillary.

    Right now what I want is to win in the fall. Whomever the candidate is.
     

    Parent

    Done (none / 0) (#188)
    by flashman on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:34:42 PM EST
    Too bad it means nothing.

    Parent
    It means that (none / 0) (#203)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:42:47 PM EST
    you did what I asked you to.

    Tool.

    Parent

    Thank you, Jeralyn (5.00 / 3) (#2)
    by stillife on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:22:18 PM EST
    I feel so much better now.  I knew Hillary would be hanging in there and I was just waiting for your post.  =)  

    Darn it Stilllife....I know you believe in Hillary (5.00 / 3) (#3)
    by PssttCmere08 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:24:34 PM EST
    Don't let the opposition clowns get you down!!

    Parent
    Thanks... (5.00 / 1) (#4)
    by americanincanada on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:26:28 PM EST
    I needed that. I feel better now between hearing this from you and Taylor Marsh's interpretation of the conference call.

    Hillary 08!

    yeah, that letter was really encouraging.... (5.00 / 2) (#17)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:45:15 PM EST
    which makes me wonder what Ickes and Flournoy were up to in that call.

    If you watch the "Florida Rules Committee" video, Flournoy is one of those who comes off as far more concerned with throwing a hissy fit than with judging Florida's arguments on its merits.

    ....and given the letter, it looks to me that both Ickes and Flournoy went off the reservation -- that the BS 50% delegation seating thing is their compromise, not what the Clinton campaign wants, but what two Clinton supporters who care more about their Rules Committee perogatives than about Clinton want.

    Parent

    I still don't get it. (5.00 / 0) (#25)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:54:43 PM EST
    Do they think that they were being clever by trying a little misdirection?

    Either Ickes and Flournoy are playing a deep game, or they need to be fired as Clinton's representatives right now.

    They seem to have made a total hash out of the arguments Clinton is planning on making tomorrow.

    Parent

    I just downloaded the audio of the conf call (5.00 / 1) (#31)
    by americanincanada on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:58:05 PM EST
    and I hope to make my own conclusions.

    Parent
    Thank you! (none / 0) (#32)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:59:04 PM EST
    Not being a lawyer, I would probably not be able to make heads or tails of it. ;-)

    Parent
    I'm not a lawyer either (5.00 / 1) (#39)
    by americanincanada on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:03:53 PM EST
    But it seems pretty clear.

    They just said their goal is full seating of both delegations with full votes in their opening statements. they said that was the goal and half votes or halving the delegations was not what they were looking for nor did they think it was fair.

    Parent

    tell Dean (none / 0) (#189)
    by dotcommodity on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:35:22 PM EST
    what you think: sign the petition

    Parent
    do you have a link... (none / 0) (#42)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:05:35 PM EST
    for the call audio?

    Parent
    Sure (none / 0) (#46)
    by americanincanada on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:07:12 PM EST
    WArning, it's at No Quarter. However, just download the MP3 on the left of the full call audio. it is perfect.

    LINK

    Parent

    Warning about No Quarter? (5.00 / 0) (#64)
    by txpolitico67 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:18:27 PM EST
    LJ supports HRC.  NO warning needed!  I love that blog!

    Parent
    If you're in Texas, did you check out this link .. (5.00 / 1) (#201)
    by Ellie on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:41:53 PM EST
    ... in the overnight thread?

    It's about a SuperD allegedly being muscled by TeamO operative.

    I'm not up on the inside baseball dynamics.

    Parent

    I love it too (none / 0) (#110)
    by americanincanada on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:40:28 PM EST
    But sometimes people here make comments so I just wanted to put it out there.

    Parent
    they're the big orange (dailykos) for Hillary (none / 0) (#145)
    by DandyTIger on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:01:02 PM EST
    and have jumped the shark in my opinion. They support our candidate, but they say some crazy stuff over there. Kind of fun to have an anti orange orange, but more reasonable like over here is better. Just my humble opinion.

    Parent
    just a guess.... (none / 0) (#35)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:01:10 PM EST
    but I have the feeling they were supposed to explain what tomorrow was going to be all about, and when people like BTD started asking substantive questions, they gave their "Rulz committee" answers....

    Parent
    Interesting... (5.00 / 1) (#38)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:03:07 PM EST
    they were not prepared to answer detailed questions because they are not used to dealing with smart people (like BTD) in the media. After all, would Andrea Mitchell ask such a question?! ;-)

    That's a good theory.

    Parent

    I sat in on the call (none / 0) (#199)
    by RonK Seattle on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:41:00 PM EST
    I did not hear contradictions or capitulations.

    I did hear Ickes, in particular, emphasize that many interested persons including some RBC members are laboring under misimpressions of the Rules, of the facts, or both. (Hence, full day outcomes may break containment re the pigeonholes some active minds had pre-assigned.)

    Ickes and Flournoy were explicit that they dissent from multiple points expressed in the Michigan party appeal and proposal, and they made best efforts to clarify some of these points. The Utrecht letter further clarifies the Clinton campaign position.

    Parent

    Thanks Jeralyn (5.00 / 2) (#5)
    by Andy08 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:29:20 PM EST
    for your views. I agree they are fighting as hard as they can

    They say today over and over that The Rules and gives the  Committee full  authority to seat all of the delegates from Florida and Michigan with full votes.


    Mr. 48 (5.00 / 2) (#108)
    by Athena on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:39:24 PM EST
    The last Democratic Presidential nominee of 48 states was Adlai Stevenson in 1956.  How fitting.

    Parent
    good one (n/t) (none / 0) (#147)
    by DandyTIger on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:02:11 PM EST
    Rules: Obama May Be Forced to Forfeit FL Delegates (5.00 / 0) (#7)
    by dazedreamer52 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:32:09 PM EST
    The folks at iNewsTube.com are pointing out that Obama may have to give up all his FL delegates because of his violation of rule Rule 20 - Section C 1. b

    http://inewstube.com/politics/may_31_dnc_rules_and_bylaws_meeting_preview_obama_may_be_forced_to_for feit_fl_delegates.html



    Aha, BTD has company in his argument (5.00 / 1) (#14)
    by Cream City on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:41:43 PM EST
    and just in case your too-long link means your comment will be deleted (see comments policy re url's), I'm going to repeat it here to keep it up:

    Rules: Obama May Be Forced to Forfeit FL Delegates )
    by dazedreamer52
    The folks at iNewsTube.com are pointing out that Obama may have to give up all his FL delegates because of his violation of rule Rule 20 - Section C 1. b.  

    Thanks for your good find -- and perhaps others may wish to forward this on to media and other sites.  If so, they can add that Obama also violated the pledge by holding a press conference in Florida, also forbidden, the very day after he signed on saying that he would not do so . . . while Clinton scrupulously adhered to every condition of the pledge.


    Parent

    If it happens, so be it, but ... (3.00 / 0) (#34)
    by cymro on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:59:58 PM EST
    ... this argument -- even if it is technically correct -- is petty, legalistic, divisive, guaranteed to annoy Obama supporters, and to make Clinton look as if she is clutching at straws to "steal" the nomination. And anything that provides further fuel for such anti-Clinton rhetoric just undermines her strategy for securing the nomination at this stage.

    If we don't give the Obama supporters anything to use to attack Clinton, they are forced to confront the mounting evidence from the polls that their candidate is dropping in the polls every week, and cannot defeat McCain. That is what will convince the superdelegates to nominate Hillary, not petty arguments about who ran ads when in Florida.

    Parent

    Oh...there go those pesky facts getting in the (5.00 / 3) (#50)
    by PssttCmere08 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:11:35 PM EST
    way of obama's free pass.  So let me get this straight...ALL rules apply to Hillary, but obama can do whatever he damn well pleases with no consequences?  I don't think so...oh the faux outrage...

    Parent
    I think you misunderstand me (5.00 / 1) (#101)
    by cymro on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:35:27 PM EST
    I am as outraged as you at the behavior of the Obama campaign. I just don't believe that legalistic arguments by ardent Clinton supporters are going to secure Hillary the nomination. Such arguments will have minimal traction precisely because they are being advanced by ardent supporters, and they provide fuel for Obama supporters (especially those in the media) to attack the Clinton campaign. Every news cycle that is given over to discussing "complaints" by Clinton or her supporters allows them to fill air time with faux outrage against Clinton, and at the same time turn a blind eye to Obama's weaknesses.

    What will secure her the nomination is ever-increasing public focus on Obama himself, his falling popularity, his difficulties in uniting Democrats, etc. Clinton can still win the nomination, but only by being not Obama. In other words, the nomination is Obama's to lose, and I believe he will lose it, if Hillary just stays out of the news for a while.  

    Three months is a very long time in politics, and Obama will self-destruct under the spotlight of being the presumptive nominee. By the Convention, superdelegates will be drafting her to rescue them from their huge mistake. First the talk will be about needing Clinton in the VP spot to retain her constituency, which will have to be swallowed by the hard-core Obama fans who are so anti-Clinton. After that bridge is crossed, it will become apparent from polls that Dems still cannot win unless Clinton is in the top spot. Voila!

    That's the basis of my comments in this thread.

    Parent

    welcome to talkleft (5.00 / 1) (#112)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:40:34 PM EST
    ....which is first and foremost a legal blog.

    and not exactly the most appropriate place to object to "legaiistic" arguments that will "annoy" Obama supporters.

    Parent

    I know that, and ... (5.00 / 2) (#124)
    by cymro on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:49:51 PM EST
    ... I have always appreciated your posts, both here and previously at TNH. I just think that the Clinton campaign is now moving into a phase in which securing the nomination requires political strategy, not legal arguments.

    The legal arguments may yet be accepted when we get to the convention, but only because by that time there will be the political will to accept them, because Obama is so obviously going to lose the GE.

    But today we are not quite at that point, so this is not the right time to be pressing the legal arguments. Now is the time for Clinton to be seen to be rising above any divisiveness and helping to unite the party. There is plenty of time left for Obama to prove that he is not up to the job.

    Parent

    I agree 100%. (5.00 / 1) (#114)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:41:53 PM EST
    My eyes are crossing with the back-and-forth between J and BTD. I'm sure both are excellent lawyers and have valid legal points.

    But ya know, none of this really does it for me and I'm an ardent Clinton supporter.

    She has to be seen as emotionally and principally right. She is arguing for full seating. She is arguing for all the votes to count. Since Party Rules are not the same as laws, that's all many of us non-lawyers need to hear. And clearly, even lawyers disagree about the "legal" basis for her arguments.

    I think HRC should do well in the last round of primaries, then suspend her campaign and let Obama take the spotlight for a while. If he can survive the media onslaught, good for him. If not, well, we'll see what happens in August.

    IMHO as usual.

    Parent

    with all due respect.... (5.00 / 1) (#154)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:03:50 PM EST
    the campaign has to make the 'legalistic' arguments when the opportunities present themselves -- if for no other reason than to get them on the record at the appropriate time.

    and discussing the relative merits of the arguments is part of that process -- and I hope BTD writes to the appropriate people with his very sound and timely arguments.

    Parent

    I know. (5.00 / 0) (#187)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:33:37 PM EST
    I think we are agreeing but arguing about two different things: what will win with the voters (political), and what will win with the committee (legal).

    Obviously the legal approach will, and should, be taken (by the candidates and by this blog), but we shouldn't discount the political approach either.

    Parent

    Obama leads Hillary 51-38 in the latest (none / 0) (#122)
    by Seth90212 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:48:01 PM EST
    CA Field poll. He leads her among all her former core demographics, including Latinos.

    Parent
    I don't think Clinton-Obama polls (5.00 / 2) (#130)
    by bjorn on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:54:19 PM EST
    mean anything anymore because the media long ago declared him the winner.  I don't think the poll can be objective in that environment.

    Parent
    Then stop citing polls which supposedly (5.00 / 0) (#135)
    by Seth90212 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:56:08 PM EST
    have her beating him in swing states. You can't have it both ways.

    Parent
    Actually, you are wrong (5.00 / 1) (#173)
    by cymro on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:17:37 PM EST
    If Obama has been declared the presumptive nominee by the media, then any polls in which Clinton still defeats him are even more relevant, because she is still beating him despite the fact that "everyone knows the race is over".

    I guess some voters just didn't buy the Obama campaign spin that's being proclaimed a zillion times a day by the media. Isn't that such a significant data point that it must be cited in any discussion of electability?

    I know you might prefer to slide it under the rug and pretend that the Obama campaign spin is the whole truth, but facts have an uncomfortable habit of undermining such fantasies.

    Parent

    Polls against McCain are another story. (none / 0) (#146)
    by MarkL on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:01:43 PM EST
    And those are even MORE impressive, when you consider that Hillary is supposed to be out of the race.

    Parent
    Same principle (1.00 / 1) (#159)
    by Seth90212 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:06:42 PM EST
    you are trying to have it both ways. If polls against Obama are considered worthless because she is deemed dead politically, same applies to Hillary/McCain polls.

    Parent
    You just defeated your own argument (5.00 / 1) (#206)
    by gyrfalcon on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:51:54 PM EST
    All the more impressive she beats McCain when Da Media have declared her out of the race.

    Parent
    WHEN did California become a swing state? (none / 0) (#205)
    by Valhalla on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:45:58 PM EST
    Also ... (none / 0) (#148)
    by cymro on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:02:14 PM EST
    The Clinton vs. Obama polls are always restricted to Democrats, whereas polls of Clinton/Obama vs. McCain measure the opinion of the electorate as a whole. And in those polls, Clinton beats Obama because she captures independents and Republican women, while Obama loses Democrats that supported Clinton.

    For the proof, just check out electoral-vote.com

    Clinton 327     McCain 194     Ties 17
    Obama 266     McCain 248     Ties 24

    Parent

    Bingo (none / 0) (#209)
    by gyrfalcon on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:52:54 PM EST
    Golly gee. (none / 0) (#125)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:50:54 PM EST
    Didn't California already vote in the primary?

    Do you care how he's doing against McCain?

    Not well.

    Parent

    You wrote that he can't win (none / 0) (#128)
    by Seth90212 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:53:09 PM EST
    yet he's clobbering her in the state with the biggest EV prize. He also beats her consistently in national polls. One poll has him up 26 points nationally.

    I'm just trying to break through some of the delusion.

    Parent

    Me delusional? (5.00 / 1) (#151)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:02:48 PM EST
    Who do you think he would be running against in the GE?

    Hint: It wouldn't be Clinton.

    Parent

    LMFAO The patent absurdity of that concern ... (none / 0) (#186)
    by Ellie on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:31:38 PM EST
    What's the deal if, as they claim, they 'won' already?

    If HRC wanted to keep campaigning and her supporters continue supporting her and they don't need us, why are they being stompy about it?

    Parent

    head firmly stuck in sand (5.00 / 2) (#163)
    by DandyTIger on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:08:52 PM EST
    is what I'm reading from you and other Obama supporters. This is mostly now about November. The polls of Clinton vs. McCain compared to Obama vs. McCain clearly show Clinton can win and Obama can't. That along with Obama and the DNC working to disenfranchise FL and MI, kick out the base of the party, and generally act like idiots has some of us a little worried. It's sad that Obama supporters aren't worried.

    Go ahead, site polls that reflect the media message that the dem primary is over and Obama has won. Surprise, surprise, he polls are reflecting that message. Fine. Dandy. Chalk one up for the media choosing our candidate again, like it chose dubya, like it chose the Iraq war, etc. Big congratulations on that one. You might want to think about what the media is going to decide for us next. Maybe they'll pick Obama, maybe they won't. They decide. You or the polls, or apparently the voters have nothing to do with it. So sit and watch what they decide to do. Have fun like we have.

    Parent

    Head in the sand? (1.00 / 2) (#176)
    by Seth90212 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:19:14 PM EST
    Check my history. Everything I've said has come to fruition. Wasn't the notion that MI would be counted as is the article of faith here? I said it wouldn't and I was attacked. Well, what happened? Same with FL. Same with the idea that he/she with the most delegates wins. Same with the pop vote argument carrying little weight, etc.

    The polls you are citing are thoroughly meaningless at this point. The SD's know exactly how meaningless they are and that is why they have flocked to Obama. Being the subject of a kitchen sink strategy will tend to drive down one's poll numbers. That said, there are other polls which argue the opposite of your take, but they are never cited here.

    Parent

    Why is there any need? Obama claims to have won (none / 0) (#168)
    by Ellie on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:11:49 PM EST
    He's been declaring Mission Re-Accomplished for ages and his fawning (though increasingly skeptical, critical) media and yet still he's not the official nominee.

    Perhaps you should do a little concern triage and move our 'delusional' support of Sen Clinton down the list of your priorities and check out the horror show of how Obama will perform in the general election.

    I'm pleasantly bonkers over my choice for President.

    Parent

    no dice... (none / 0) (#60)
    by vrusimov on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:16:41 PM EST
    won't happen because Florida is already stripped 100% of it's delegates beforehand...

    b. A presidential candidate who campaigns in a state where the state party is in
    violation of the timing provisions of these rules, or where a primary or caucus is
    set by a state's government on a date that violates the timing provisions of these
    rules, may not receive pledged delegates or delegate votes from that state.
    Candidates may, however, campaign in such a state after the primary or caucus
    that violates these rules. "Campaigning" for purposes of this section includes,
    but is not limited to, purchasing print, internet, or electronic advertising that
    reaches a significant percentage of the voters in the aforementioned state; hiring
    campaign workers; opening an office; making public appearances; holding news
    conferences; coordinating volunteer activities; sending mail, other than
    fundraising requests that are also sent to potential donors in other states; using
    paid or volunteer phoners or automated calls to contact voters; sending emails or
    establishing a website specific to that state; holding events to which Democratic
    voters are invited; attending events sponsored by state or local Democratic
    organizations; or paying for campaign materials to be used in such a state. The
    Rules and Bylaws Committee will determine whether candidate activities are
    covered by this section.

    Parent

    But, as BTD argued, once a reinstatement (5.00 / 0) (#74)
    by Cream City on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:25:21 PM EST
    of any sort -- half, full, in between -- is made, then the argument becomes operative to take away his delegates for his violation of the pledge.

    I.e., it's a sequential argument, and you're not seeing that.

    Parent

    Problem. A number of the FLA newspapers have (none / 0) (#193)
    by Christy1947 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:36:53 PM EST
    tagged Hillary for campaigning there as well. If you want O to lose his, you are also calling for HRC to lose hers.

    And, by the way, how do you all feel about the two states agreeing to a compromise that HRC does not agree to. S she's on her own at the Convention and the states are not with her. What happens then?

    Parent

    I am fairly sure I read that too in some (5.00 / 1) (#37)
    by PssttCmere08 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:02:56 PM EST
    rules posted on another thread on TL...something to the effect that obama broke the rules by advertising in FLA.

    Parent
    double standard (1.00 / 0) (#103)
    by ibextati on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:36:48 PM EST
    You guys argue that FL and MI delegates should be seated even though they broke the rules. And you want to see Obama's FL delegates taken away claiming he violated party rules by running ads in FL.  I see a lot of hypocrisy.

    Parent
    First off... (5.00 / 1) (#121)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:47:32 PM EST
    the argument here is that Florida did not break the rules, and qualified for a waiver under rule 20 C 7.  

    secondly, the argument for Michigan is that the rules were not consistently enforced, and selective enforcement of the rules is bad for party unity.

    As for Obama breaking the rules... he broke a separate and distinct rule that concerned the actions of candidates and their campaigns.  And he should be penalized for doing so....

    Parent

    FL didn't break rules? (1.00 / 2) (#137)
    by ibextati on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:56:19 PM EST
    You should go and ask Harold Ickes and 12 other clinton supporters in RBC why they stripped FL and MI delegates?

    Parent
    We are tired of explaining this. (5.00 / 1) (#131)
    by zfran on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:54:48 PM EST
    Please go look it up regarding FL/MI, then, if you wish, come back w/new (really new) talking points. Thank you.

    Parent
    More faux news to justify faux outrage ... (none / 0) (#13)
    by cymro on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:41:42 PM EST
    ... against Clinton, I suspect.

    Parent
    Here's a link to the same article (none / 0) (#26)
    by digdugboy on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:55:35 PM EST
    that won't bust the margin.

    http://tinyurl.com/6kp4yc

    Parent

    Please delete this link (none / 0) (#115)
    by chancellor on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:42:28 PM EST
    It is skewing the entire comments section. Thanks.

    Parent
    Jeralyn - I have no money right now (5.00 / 3) (#11)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:38:43 PM EST
    but I'm donating to you anyway. This amazing post just cannot go unrewarded.

    You are a treasure. :-)

    RBC has broad authority but ... (5.00 / 2) (#23)
    by RonK Seattle on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:53:52 PM EST
    ... this doees not include authority to reassign delegates from one candidate preference to another.

    MI Uncommitted delegates must go Uncommitted (if they go at all). RBC can't convert them from Uncommitted to Obama, any more than they could convert a Biden delegate to Kucinich. (The Credentials Committee would have broader - and more dangerous - authority.)

    This is a defect in the proposed Michigan (69-59) plan ... and it's an unnecessary reach, as the (barred) MI delegation as currently constituted is heavily Obama-centric.

    If it came down to equities, 71-57 would be a fair settlement, as Clinton held that 11% margin over Obama per the MI exit polls ... but that again would be a matter for later stages of the process.

    Thanks Jeralyn! (5.00 / 1) (#24)
    by ruffian on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:54:00 PM EST
    My favorite part of the letter (so far as I have read yet) is where they point out that they tried to organize the revotes to show the good faith attempt to comply with the rules. That shows what good strategic thinking went into pushing for those revotes even if it was a long shot.

    unfortunately... (none / 0) (#52)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:12:25 PM EST
    trying to organize revotes doesn't comply with the provisions allow waivers, which require party officials to make the effort to prevent legislation that would violate the rules from being passed.

    In Michigan, that didn't happen.  (Florida is a different story).

    IMHO, the rules committee should vote to seat Florida in full (except for any official who qualifies as an SD who is found to have acted to get the change passed), then strip Obama of his delegates for his rules violation concerning campaigning in Florida.

    Then refuse to seat Michigan, because under the Rules there is no rationale for doing so -- but pass a resolution recommending that the Credentials Committee do so because of the good faith effort of Michigan democrats to come up with a solution in recent months.

    Parent

    Yep (none / 0) (#62)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:17:20 PM EST
    People are not thinking in ths ithread.

    I suggest everyone actually read 20C 7 to see how ludicrous this position is.

    Parent

    The upside is that Dem leaders have to explain it (5.00 / 0) (#83)
    by Ellie on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:29:30 PM EST
    ... to media and voters, and not Sen. Clinton.

    This is a good thing, as it will spare everyone another appalling media moment of offering to cook for In The Tank media and get her on the job of explaining why, if he has indeed, as bloggers like Atrios say, "you know, won" the Dems don't outright declare it and the Superdeez go on the record now and make it all official.

    (And let's hope this puts an end to TeamO's serial Mission Accomplished Almost media events.)

    Parent

    Ed: should read 'appalling Donna Brazile media' (5.00 / 0) (#93)
    by Ellie on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:33:42 PM EST
    ... moment.

    I still don't know how to get my browser's auto-select turned off. It selects entire words or phrases at whim and clips them when I post.

    OR it doesn't like Donna Brazille.

    Parent

    Holding a primary (none / 0) (#87)
    by ruffian on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:31:09 PM EST
    or caucus between Super Tuesday and June 15(?) would have kept FL in compliance with the primary scheduling rules, since the DNC did not recognize the one on Jan, 29 as legal.  Wasn't that why we were pushing for that re-vote? Trying to get such a vote going shows an attempt to comply with the rules. That's all I was referring to. Is that not correct?

    Parent
    no.... (none / 0) (#129)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:53:22 PM EST
    the problem is that an unsuccessful effort after the fact isn't enough -- although had the effort suceeded, the delegates would have been seated.

    The rule is an "AND" rule... and it includes a requirement that Florida officials do whatever they could to prevent their state from passing a law that broke the rule.

    Now, most of us here think that Florida did comply with the requirements that would have qualified them for a waiver to begin with -- so Florida isn't an issue.  

    Michigan is the issue....they didn't try and stop the rules from being broken -- they activity facilitated it.  

    Parent

    Thank you (none / 0) (#185)
    by ruffian on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:29:20 PM EST
    That explains it better, for me anyway.

    Where I have been getting hung up is the word 'waiver', which I have been interpreting wrongly as a pardon for breaking the rules. I could not understand how you can say FL should get a waiver and also say they did not break the rules. I think I get it now.

    Parent

    Actually, (none / 0) (#195)
    by Emma on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:38:42 PM EST
    some MI Dems in the House did oppose it.  And it is a Republican controlled Legislature.

    And, since all the FL Dems voted for the FL legislation, what did THEY do to try and stop their legislation?  I understand the paper trail legislation.  But the fact is, that's an argument that FL Dems couldn't have voted against it.  Well, they could have.  They didn't because they wanted to accomplish something important to them.

    If Fl's efforts are "enough" opposition -- even though all the Dems voted for it -- why are MI Dem's efforts "enough" opposition when Dems in the House actually voted against it?

    Drawing a line between "good" FL and "bad" MI is false, IMO.  I think people do it b/c they don't want to deal with the Obama-created mess of him taking his name off the ballot.

    Parent

    florida and michigan (5.00 / 1) (#27)
    by snucky on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:55:36 PM EST
    hopefully hillary's supporters will be at that meeting in full force. DAMAND OUT VOTES!

    BTW... (5.00 / 1) (#33)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:59:22 PM EST
    I'm with BTD with regard to the ex poste facto rationale that Michigan tried to do something after the ballots were cast to find a way to be in compliance... 21 C 7 requires that Democratic party officials take the necessary steps to prevent legislation that was not in compliance with the rules from being passed.  In michigan, that did not happen, and ex poste facto efforts that bear no fruit cannot be considered a substitute in this case.  (its a good argument for Florida though...)

    Problem for clinton (none / 0) (#58)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:16:26 PM EST
    they conceded the efforts ex ante were NOT incomplaince with 20C 7.

    This argument is atrocious.

    Parent

    not really a problem for Clinton (none / 0) (#73)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:22:55 PM EST
    ...because as I mentioned elsewhere, I suspect that Ickes and Flournoy were not there to answer the kind of smart, informed, substantive questions that you and others asked as representatives of the Clinton campaign.

    but I agree the ex ante (thanks for the correct legal term) efforts are irrelevant to 21 C 7 as such.  I just think that Florida's efforts enhance the already legitimate argument they have for a waiver... i still don't see a rationale under the rules to do more than reinstate half of Michigan's delegates, tho.

    Parent

    Excuse me (none / 0) (#88)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:31:18 PM EST
    floutnroy and Ickes conceded that Florida broke the rules and did not qualify for 20c7.

    Heck, even in this letter, Clinton is not arguing that Florida did what it could ante, it is alll about the revotes.

    A simple reading of 20c7 tells you that that is not enough.

    the argument loses already.

    Parent

    question (5.00 / 1) (#41)
    by caDem on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:05:26 PM EST
    this is my first time posting. So please go easy on me. I have a basic question. Before the primary started, all candidates agreed to a set of rules. They even signed pledges to abide by the spirit of the rules. All candidates knew that Fl and MI will not be counted and even publicly said so. So how is it fair that the rules are being changed now ? I hear the "every vote must count" argument. That is a fair question, but this is not a general election. It is a party election so the typical "disenfranchisement" argument is really not applicable. There are states that have caucuses, don't allow independents to vote, etc which are all forms of disenfranchisement. But that has not become an issue, because everyone knows the rules and has agreed to play by them. I did not see the candidates complain in 2007 about FL & MI, when all the same arguments applied. I see stoking up FL & MI as a campaign tactic, being all righteous about it seems hypocritical at best.

    Once you start (5.00 / 0) (#53)
    by befuddled on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:12:34 PM EST
    saying someone doesn't count, AND people accept that some people don't count, soon there is no equality. That's the basis of our republic, as I understand it.

    Parent
    In case this is your first time reading (5.00 / 2) (#98)
    by waldenpond on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:35:16 PM EST
    Here are the, you know, actual rules.  Just curious, how did you find this site?  Most people lurk for a long time and have taken the time to read the discussions....

    Here's BTD on the actual rules.

    Using words like campaign tactic, righteous and hypocritical kind of give you away, but you might want to check them out anyway.

    Parent

    this question... (5.00 / 1) (#99)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:35:17 PM EST
    has already been addressed, in mind-boggling detail, on numerous occasions.

    Short answer -- everything you think you know is wrong.

    long answer...search this site ... especially posts by BTD with the words "Florida" and Michigan" or "FL" and "MI" in the title.

    Parent

    So you're willing (none / 0) (#47)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:07:43 PM EST
    to concede Florida/Michigan to McCain so the ROOLZ will be adhered to.

    Okay, fine with me.

    Parent

    that does not necessarily follow (none / 0) (#55)
    by caDem on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:15:03 PM EST
    Just like when a candidate wins a primary does not follow that they will will the GE in that state. For e.g. Obama lost CA, but there is no  way he will lose the state in GE. If anything, he is leading Clinton among Democrats in the latest polls.  I agree that FL & MI should be resolved and the delegation should be seated, but doing it in a way that makes them decisive will not be fair. Making it an issue and stoking emotions around it and making it a rallying cry does not advance the cause of Democrats wining GE. That too, when its clear that the rules will not be changed in a way to alter the outcome.

    Parent
    if FL is resolved (none / 0) (#141)
    by ccpup on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:58:38 PM EST
    and given any delegates, Obama would then be stripped of his for ... well, breaking the rules he agreed to by giving a Press Conference and Campaigning.

    The DNC even gently rebuked him for it, so it's not like they didn't know it happened.

    Rules are rules, you know.  He broke them, there should be consequences, right?

    Parent

    Spelling it ROOLZ doesn't mean rules don't apply (none / 0) (#65)
    by Curious on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:18:42 PM EST
    LOL! (none / 0) (#143)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:59:56 PM EST
    And ROOLZ aren't everything.  Voter disenfranchisement is more important than the ROOLZ to you, right?

    Parent
    I agree (none / 0) (#75)
    by caDem on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:25:37 PM EST
    Democracies count votes. But remember this is not a GE. Its a party  election. The party can very well decide whatever means that is generally fair. Just like it can say that you can vote only if you are registered Democrat. I would grant the argument if rules were changed after the votes were cast. That would be undemocratic. But everyone knew that and no one complained for months till after the votes were cast. In my view adhering to the rules that were set before is more democratic.  

    Parent
    The rules (5.00 / 1) (#119)
    by tree on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:46:40 PM EST
    always allowed for FL and MI to appeal the earlier ruling and many in FL and MI were told it was ery likely that in the end their votes would in fact count. Senator Bill Nelson was one who was repeating that often before the vote was taken. Even Obama, in his impromptu September 2007 press conference in Tampa that violated the DNC ban on press conferences there, implied that if he were the presumptive nominee he would ensure the seating of the Florida delegation. Its obvious in hindsight that the punishment was not intended to hurt the voters but rather the state Democratic parties by limiting the monetary gain that those parties would have seen by the candidates campaigning in their states. No one anticipated how close the race would be and that the nominee wouldn't have been decided by now, and thus most assumed that there would be no objection prior to the convention to granting the states' appeals to let there delegations be seated. Poor decision making by the DNC, caused by faulty assumptions is what has led us here.

      The problem with many of the "rules-based" arguments against seating FL and MI is that the rules are only cited selectively in order to oppose the seating without looking at all the rules and what the rules really say, versus what those with an anti-vote axe to grind claim they say. BTD has covered this in detail from the very beginning. I might suggest that you look up some of the older threads on this. Many of us here have  hashed this issues so many times before that its gets rather tiring and disheartening to start back at point one with someone like yourself who doesn't have the full background on this.  

    Parent

    Actually, the Dem party can't control who votes (none / 0) (#80)
    by Newt on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:27:41 PM EST
    in the primary.  State law controls whether or not primaries are open, right?

    Parent
    Not sure (none / 0) (#86)
    by caDem on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:31:00 PM EST
    I am not sure if the state of party controls the state process. In TX, Democrats had a primary/caucus whereas Republicans only had a primary.

    Parent
    Kung Fu Part Tu: DNC and Obie must own MI-FL (5.00 / 0) (#43)
    by Ellie on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:05:43 PM EST
    I posted in BTD's conference call thread that I thought the Roolz "concession" was Kung=Fu to make the DNC directly explain their case to the voters and Dems without the political cover of arguing with the Clinton campaign.

    This also puts the onus on Obama individually and on his Team to own their actions. They've had every opportunity and option presented to them and IMO imperiously waved -- as opposed to waived :-) -- each one away when it's not up to one individual to decide whether voters' rights are acceptable.

    Nor is it Obama's right to demand that voters that didn't vote for him be shuffled into his corner for his own strategic political choice.

    IANAL but his actions in this will have blowback in the general election, when states that have little chance of going Dem did count for him being ahead in this race.

    Sen Clinton is in it to win it and this shows why she's on the ascendency with the voters. There's brains in that here Hill! GO HILLARY!

    I just listened to the call (5.00 / 2) (#117)
    by americanincanada on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:43:12 PM EST
    and it didn't sound like they were conceeding anything to me. Nor did I thik anyone talked out of school or not in line with previous messages and calls.

    Seat full delegations, uncommitted goes uncommitted.

    this is the post I was going to publish (5.00 / 1) (#175)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:18:32 PM EST

    On the Clinton Letter.

    Cutting through the verbiage of the Clinton Letter, what is left is this - Rule 20(C)(7) allows the RBC to forgive rulebreaking states (the Clinton campaign concedes that Florida and Michigan broke the DNC rules) when a state party take positive provable steps and acted in good faith to bring the state into compliance with the DNC's selection rules. the Clinton campaign argues that the attempts to organize rev-votes constitutes the necessary steps to qualify for the RBC's reinstating the Florida and Michigan delegation. Does this argument hold water? Let's review the relevant provisions. Rule 20(C)(7) states:

    In the event a state shall become subject to subsections (1), (2) or (3) of section C. of this rule as a result of state law but the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee, after an investigation, including hearings if necessary, determines the state party and the other relevant Democratic party leaders and elected officials took all provable, positive steps and acted in good faith to achieve legislative changes to
    bring the state law into compliance with the pertinent provisions of these rules and determines that the state party and the other relevant Democratic party leaders and elected officials took all provable, positive steps and acted in good faith in attempting to prevent legislative changes which resulted in state law that fails to
    comply with the pertinent provisions of these rules, the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee may determine that all or a portion of the state's delegation shall not be reduced.

    Where have we heard this argument before? Oh I know, by Florida, at the August 25, 2007 RBC when the RBC decided to INCREASE the penalty against Florida. Now it is argued that Florida's after the fact attempts will be sufficient. Good luck with that one.

    Guess what else the rule says:

    The state party shall have the burden of proving by clear and convincing evidence that it and the other relevant Democratic party leaders and elected officials took all provable, positive steps and acted in good faith to achieve legislative changes to bring the state law into compliance with the pertinent provisions of these rules and that it and the other relevant Democratic party leaders and elected officials took all provable, positive steps and acted in good faith in attempting to prevent the legislative changes which resulted in state
    law that fails to comply with the pertinent provisions of these rules.

    (Emphasis supplied.) First, the Florida Democratic Party did NOT try to achieve legislative changes to achieve a revote. Of course such efforts would have been futile but they did not attempt. Second, the rule still requires that Florida attempted to prevent the legislation that put Florida out of compliance. that is the argument that was already rejected. To wit, for the Clinton  argument to even work, they needed to reject the August 25, 2007 determination by the RBC. The Clinton campaign does not do that here. Third, the Florida Democratic Party did not even present a submission trying to provide "clear and convincing evidence" that they did what the Clinton letter says they did. and if you want to be honest about it, a lot of Florida Congressional leader RESISTED revotes. this argument simply does not fly.

    As for Michigan, they can not even come close on the requirement that they tried to prevent the legislative change. Heck, they Democratic legislature and Democratic Governor approved the law that put Michigan out of compliance. While it is true that it later produced proposed legislation that would have provided for a revote, that legislation was killed by Obama supporters. And again, the Michigan Democratic Party has not submitted "clear and convincing evidence" on these points.

    In my mind, the Clinton camp has already lost the 100% seating argument before the RBC. And for no good reason. they did not have to concede any violation by Florida and could have argued that Michigan was entitled to a "waiver" as granted to New Hampshire and South Carolina. I do not understand the choices made by the Clinton camp on these issues.



    What should they be arguing in order (none / 0) (#197)
    by ruffian on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:39:38 PM EST
    to 'reject the August 25, 2007 determination by the RBC'.  Is there an argument to be made that was not already rejected in the Aug 25 determination, or would better arguers of the same points make a difference?

    Parent
    One thing that's interesting about this site (3.66 / 3) (#138)
    by ricky on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:57:32 PM EST
    is the lack of insight by most of the posters. You can definitely argue that Obama's campaign has played some politics, but there have been many more political games played by the Clinton campaign. These are rarely acknowledged here. Instead, what happens here is that folks find a way of getting riled up and righteous to support whatever argument Clinton provides. If things were different, and Clinton didn't want the Mi/Fl delegations fully seated for political reasons, I have no doubt that equally passionate posts on this site would defend that position.

    One thing I have noticed on this site (5.00 / 4) (#150)
    by MarkL on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:02:35 PM EST
    is that the trolls are of very low quality.


    Parent
    Rational dissent (none / 0) (#152)
    by ricky on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:03:15 PM EST
    is not trolling

    Parent
    That's not what you are doing. (5.00 / 1) (#164)
    by MarkL on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:09:05 PM EST
    there is a lack of insight (none / 0) (#165)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:10:47 PM EST
    in your trolling.

    Try to do better.

    Parent

    Okay, ricky, list for me, please, the (5.00 / 1) (#156)
    by zfran on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:06:10 PM EST
    political games played by Clinton?!

    Parent
    I have still never heard this addressed: (3.25 / 4) (#6)
    by bocajeff on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:32:02 PM EST
    My wife turned to me and said "They said they weren't going to count Florida so I didn't vote. Now they might count it and I was talked out of voting. Isn't that wrong?"

    "Well," I told her, "at least you didn't vote for Buchanan this time."

    My wife, as well as many others, didn't vote because they were told their votes weren't going to count. Aren't they being disenfanchised also?

    I'm told my vote won't count (5.00 / 4) (#8)
    by Cream City on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:36:06 PM EST
    all the time, when I'm voting against the odds.  I'm told my vote won't count all the time, by people voting for the opponent and "canceling out" my vote.  

    Many Dems in red states are told all the time that their vote won't count.

    I understand that your state had other issues on the ballot.  Why did your wife not care enough about those to go to the polls?  Please clarify.  Thanks.

    Parent

    "down ballot" argument (1.00 / 0) (#63)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:17:53 PM EST
    is a red herring.

    Parent
    Mine, or his? If mine, how? Pls. clarify (5.00 / 0) (#81)
    by Cream City on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:28:04 PM EST
    your cryptic comment.  I was misinformed that there were other issues on the ballot -- the property-tax issue, for one, in Florida?  Thanks.

    Parent
    This is particular (none / 0) (#106)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:39:12 PM EST
    I understand that your state had other issues on the ballot.  Why did your wife not care enough about those to go to the polls?  Please clarify.  Thanks.

    The other part of your argument applies, in my opinion. But saying that she deserves to lose her vote because she should have gone to vote for another issue/race is a distraction from the core of the issue.

    For instance, if someone had voted down ballot but left the primary blank, this would not apply at all. See? Separate issues.

    Parent

    Not what she said (5.00 / 0) (#212)
    by gyrfalcon on Fri May 30, 2008 at 04:04:08 PM EST
    "saying that she deserves to lose her vote because she should have gone to vote for another issue/race"

    Parent
    this IN particular (none / 0) (#109)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:39:35 PM EST
    damn typos!

    Parent
    It is too bad (5.00 / 4) (#9)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:37:23 PM EST
    that your wife abstained from voting for the other measures that were also on the Florida ballot on that date.  As I understand, they weren't JUST HOLDING the presidential primary.

    Parent
    No, they were wrong (5.00 / 3) (#10)
    by zebedee on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:38:19 PM EST
    The votes were always going to count in some way, whether the delegates counted or not. The pop vote was always going to factor into the superdelegate considerations. The propaganda about pledged delegates by the Obama camp may have misled your wife so if your wife was thinking of voting for Obama she should vent her anger at him.

    Parent
    A revote would have been a good idea (5.00 / 3) (#12)
    by Democratic Cat on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:41:18 PM EST
    to handle situations like your wife's. Too bad Sen. Obama wasn't on board with that idea.

    In any case, unless people who favored Obama were more likely to stay home than Clinton supporters, then the results fairly reflect the split of Floridians between the two candidates, even if everyone didn't actually vote.  This means the delegate split implied by the popular vote is correct.

    Parent

    They probably stayed home (5.00 / 4) (#22)
    by derridog on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:52:07 PM EST
    because they don't care about downticket issues or races, as was shown in Texas, when Obama's voters only voted for the presidential candidate and left the remaining ballot blank.  It was Hillary's voters who voted downticket.  What a surprise!  They actually care about the party not just some slick traveling salesman who thinks he should be President without ever having held a full time job.

    Parent
    Whoa (none / 0) (#67)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:19:20 PM EST
    is this true?

    Parent
    Yes, it is. (5.00 / 1) (#77)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:26:12 PM EST
    I've seen documentation to back it up.

    The whole "Obama has better coattails" argument doesn't appear to be proven out by the facts.

    Parent

    80-71% (none / 0) (#91)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:32:19 PM EST
    not a huge difference, but still....

    Parent
    Still true. :-) (none / 0) (#96)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:34:39 PM EST
    So not a red herring, after all.

    Parent
    it IS a red herring (none / 0) (#113)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:41:32 PM EST
    to the argument that people did not vote due to thinking FLA would not count.

    It is NOT a red herring to the argument that Obama has bigger coattails. It is, in fact, evidence to the contrary.

    Parent

    Not really... (none / 0) (#134)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:56:03 PM EST
    the original poster claimed that his wife said she thought her vote wouldn't count in the presidential primary, so she didn't bother to vote.

    She could have voted down-ticket on other measures on the ballot, but like many Obama supporters, she didn't think that was important.

    So it may be a side issue, but not a red herring.

    Parent

    red herring IS a side issue (none / 0) (#142)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:59:04 PM EST
    rhetorically speaking.

    Parent
    Well, I can't follow you guys. A red herring is an (none / 0) (#158)
    by derridog on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:06:27 PM EST
    issue that distracts from the main issue.  Not sure how that relates to your comments exactly.

    Parent
    Snark? (none / 0) (#170)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:13:56 PM EST
    or serious question?

    Because the discussion of what is or isn't a red herring is NOT strictly a red herring...it's more of a tangent ;-)

    Parent

    Um... you missed this part: (none / 0) (#155)
    by derridog on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:04:53 PM EST
    In Dallas County, where Mr. Obama got nearly two-thirds of the vote, the falloff was nearly 30 percent.....

    But the numbers suggest that many Obama voters were drawn singularly to him and might not return in the fall if he's not the nominee - blunting the flood of new voters who Democrats hope will help revive the party in Texas and sweep it into the White House.

    Parent

    problems: (none / 0) (#167)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:11:36 PM EST
    #1) you have to pick out the county with the lowest downballot vote that Clinton won in order to provide a better comparison, but that comparison is still bad because:

    #2) numbers only suggest this because of the part you snipped out:

    The analysis has limitations: It's impossible to tell which voters skipped the down-ballot contest, though the counties in question leaned heavily to one candidate or the other. And it cannot take into account the decisions of individual voters, driven by many different factors.

    #3)if Dallas County is only 30% the other counties must be MUCH higher to account for a 71% average

    NOW, I DO believe that the demographic that typically votes for Obama is less likely to vote downballot, however, we should be honest with ourselves when we present facts to back up our arguments at all times.

    Parent

    It is a huge difference (none / 0) (#207)
    by RonK Seattle on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:52:40 PM EST
    Suggests fall-off near 40% of Obama voters, vs maybe 12% of Clinton voters.

    Vewwy intewesting.

    Parent

    Obama's coattails (none / 0) (#161)
    by Newt on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:07:18 PM EST
    No one really knows how Obama supporters will downticket vote in November, but I would expect that ads and online communications linking our popular candidate with the Democratic candidates will clinch their elections, in Texas and elsewhere across the country.

    Parent
    From your keyboard (none / 0) (#169)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:12:12 PM EST
    to FSM's ears

    Parent
    Interesting Article (none / 0) (#190)
    by daring grace on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:36:24 PM EST
    While it may be true that more Obama voters didn't vote down ticket than Clinton's, it's not actually provable,  it's just strongly suggested as your article mentions:

    " The analysis has limitations: It's impossible to tell which voters skipped the down-ballot contest, though the counties in question leaned heavily to one candidate or the other. And it cannot take into account the decisions of individual voters, driven by many different factors.

    "But the numbers suggest that many Obama voters were drawn singularly to him and might not return in the fall if he's not the nominee - blunting the flood of new voters who Democrats hope will help revive the party in Texas and sweep it into the White House."

    Myself, I've voted every year since I became eligible (1974) and yet there have been plenty of years I voted for only one candidate on a ballot, because I've gotten tired of picking lesser-of-two evil candidates and only do it (as I might this year, depending on who has the nomination) when the possibility of the truly repugnant candidate winning looms large.

    Parent

    Abundantly provable (none / 0) (#213)
    by RonK Seattle on Fri May 30, 2008 at 04:10:38 PM EST
    You've got 254 data points - 254 counties in TX, with varying Clinton/Obama primary results and varying downballot participation, all from the TX SoS website.

    Simple regression, just a lot of work digging out the data (though that should be available in more tractable tabular form, too).

    Parent

    Sure is (none / 0) (#192)
    by txpolitico67 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:36:33 PM EST
    go to dallasnews.com and search for the march 4th primary news.  I live in TX.  Obama voters only voted Obama here in FTW.  Down ballot be damned.

    Parent
    She was talked out of voting? (5.00 / 4) (#15)
    by Anne on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:43:16 PM EST
    By whom?  Someone she heard on the radio, on the TV, who? If they had told her to jump off a bridge, would she have done that, too?

    Sorry for the flippant question, but come on - since when do we allow someone else to tell us whether to vote or not?  Did your wife not vote at all, for anything that was on the Florida ballot, or did she just skip the presidential candidates?  

    Did you vote?  Did she not wonder why you were voting if it wasn't going to count?

    I'm sorry - I just am not buying this excuse that people were persuaded to stay home and not exercise their right to vote, on the basis of "someone" telling them it wouldn't count.

    The only time your vote does not count, the only time it cannot count, is when you do not cast it.  

    Maybe next time your wife will take her vote more seriously.

    Parent

    This is a good point (none / 0) (#127)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:52:25 PM EST
    the information was bad at the time...who is responsible for that. There should be an investigation.

    Parent
    Why an investigation (none / 0) (#194)
    by feet on earth on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:37:58 PM EST
    Doesn't Ms Coigue remember who misled her into thinking that the vote did not count?

    Parent
    Your choice (5.00 / 1) (#16)
    by DaveOinSF on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:45:07 PM EST
    Say there's 5 million voters in MI/FL.  Since Obama shot down revotes, the choice is between disenfranchising 5 million or 2.5 million.

    Parent
    Bill Nelson and Hillary Clinton (5.00 / 1) (#18)
    by ruffian on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:45:36 PM EST
    had not given up on getting the votes counted at the time of the primary, and said so publicly.  That's why I and I think many others voted despite The ROOLZ.  Sorry your wife did not vote.

    Parent
    anyone who didn't vote in Florida (5.00 / 3) (#19)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:50:03 PM EST
    has no one but themselves to blame.

    This wasn't like washington state, where it was just a presidential beauty contest.  There was a crucial ballot issue to be decided on January 29th, and the Democratic Party did everything in its power to get people out to vote against it.

    so spare me this "i didn't vote because it wouldn't count' nonsense, because there was something very important on the ballot that DID count -- and the fact that your wife didn't care enough about the ballot initiative tells me that she doesn't really care what happens anyway.

    Parent

    No (5.00 / 2) (#20)
    by xspowr on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:50:47 PM EST
    Disenfranchisement occurs when a voter is deliberately prevented from casting a vote (e.g. through the imposition of poll taxes, literacy tests, etc.) or when an objectively valid vote is not recognized in the determination of an electoral outcome (e.g. stopping the Florida recount in 2000, the DNC's nuclear option against Florida and Michigan in 2008).

    The voluntary choice by a potential voter not to cast a vote does not constitute disenfranchisement (if I choose to sit home in November, am I disenfranchised? Of course not). Further, your wife was not "talked out of" casting a vote by anyone; apparently, the record 2.3 million voters who turned out in Florida and Michigan to cast ballots did not get that memo. Further, voters in both states were widely exhorted to cast votes despite the DNC sanctions, on the shared belief that the votes would ultimately be recognized at some point.

    Parent

    LOL (5.00 / 2) (#29)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:57:46 PM EST
    people like this really crack me up.

    They are so typical of the mentality of some Obama supporters - they point the finger of blame at everyone but themselves.

    The choice not to vote is always the voter's own choice.

    Parent

    I troll rated this comment... (5.00 / 0) (#57)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:15:20 PM EST
    because I simply don't believe, given the number of people who have responded to his comment, that he "still hasn't seen this question addressed".  

    Obviously, a whole bunch of people have been ready and willing to address it -- so I think that troll rating is appropriate.

    Parent

    So you troll-rated me (5.00 / 1) (#72)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:21:39 PM EST
    instead of the guy who said he hadn't seen it addressed?

    Whatever, dude. ;-)

    Parent

    Cannondaddy is the one lurking and troll (5.00 / 2) (#105)
    by PssttCmere08 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:37:21 PM EST
    rating...he needs to be banned.

    Parent
    no, I troll rated the troll comment... (none / 0) (#76)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:25:45 PM EST
    not yours...

    I checked, and was relieved to see that it wasn't me who gave you a "1"!  ;-)

    Parent

    oh. LOL! :-) (none / 0) (#78)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:26:37 PM EST
    cannondaddy is on a troll rating (5.00 / 1) (#94)
    by Anne on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:34:00 PM EST
    rampage, apparently - up and down this thread handing out 1's...

    Parent
    Heh. (5.00 / 1) (#100)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:35:18 PM EST
    Whatever floats cannondaddy's boat, I guess.

    Parent
    Just because (none / 0) (#183)
    by brad12345 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:29:06 PM EST
    a bunch of people call his wife lazy doesn't mean that anyone here has actually addressed his concern in a substantive or meaningful way.


    Parent
    If she's too lazy to post such a deep concern ... (none / 0) (#208)
    by Ellie on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:52:53 PM EST
    ... why shouldn't people assume her choice not to vote wasn't also lazy?

    We can't slack-proof the world or offer explanations for her own behavior. I suggest Life Coaching, Red Bull or steroids.

    Parent

    So you have no problem with - (1.00 / 1) (#48)
    by minordomo on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:10:24 PM EST
    - voter suppression techniques then?

    Disenfranchisement occurs when a voter is deliberately prevented from casting a vote (e.g. through the imposition of poll taxes, literacy tests, etc.) or when an objectively valid vote is not recognized in the determination of an electoral outcome (e.g. stopping the Florida recount in 2000, the DNC's nuclear option against Florida and Michigan in 2008).

    Seems to me that telling voters the election doesn't count is exactly one of those techniques.

    I'm astounded by the number of Hillary supporters willing to pretend this was just a normal election and that Obama did wrong in taking his name off the ballot in an election that was agreed by all would not count, when it was perfectly reasonable and legal for him to do so. Now he and his voters are to be punished even though they acted within the rules as agreed at the time. Why should Clinton benefit from this when she also agreed the election would not count?

    Parent

    Obama said FL & MI "don't matter" (5.00 / 2) (#149)
    by Josey on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:02:22 PM EST
    therefore many of his FL supporters didn't bother to vote.
    Prior to FL & MI primaries - Hillary said just the opposite - that she would fight to have the delegates seated and the votes counted.

    Obamamites bought Obama's li....er spin that Hillary only wanted to count the votes and seat the delegates after Obama was leading in delegates.

    Parent

    Clinton didn't smell trouble after the Iowa upset? (none / 0) (#191)
    by minordomo on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:36:29 PM EST
    Obamamites bought Obama's li....er spin that Hillary only wanted to count the votes and seat the delegates after Obama was leading in delegates.

    When did Hillary first talk about seating MI and FL delegates?

    Parent

    troll rated... (3.66 / 3) (#61)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:17:00 PM EST
    for this lie that has been consistently exposed as such here, and everywhere else...

    an election that was agreed by all would not count


    Parent
    Who did not agree that it would not count - (none / 0) (#162)
    by minordomo on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:08:04 PM EST
    - at the time of the election?

    Parent
    If you don't have a response - (none / 0) (#196)
    by minordomo on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:39:06 PM EST
    - then I'd appreciate it if you removed the "troll rating".

    Parent
    Really? (3.00 / 2) (#79)
    by cmugirl on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:26:47 PM EST
    Then how do you explain the record number of people who voted in both Michigan and Florida?

    Parent
    Really? (none / 0) (#166)
    by minordomo on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:11:28 PM EST
    What record number of people are you talking about? Michigan had a turnout in the neighborhood of 600,000. In a previous primary (I forget which one now), they had a million and a half.

    There's also this: http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2008/03/19/disenfranchising-non-voters-in-florida-and-michigan/?mod=go oglenews_wsj

    Parent

    You must be very upset (3.00 / 2) (#89)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:32:00 PM EST
    with Barack Obama for telling people the elections in Florida and Michigan didn't count, then!

    "...Obama spokesman Bill Burton offered a reminder that the primaries in Michigan and Florida will "have no bearing on the Democratic nomination contest" because the states won't have any delegates at the national convention.

    Not so fast, says the Clinton campaign. In a memo just circulated in response, the Clinton campaign denies the charge that it's planning to campaign in Florida; says the Obama campaign is pushing the Michigan-doesn't-matter line only because its efforts to get Democrats to vote "uncommitted" isn't working; and seems to be hinting that it may fight to have delegates from Michigan and Florida seated at the convention after all.

    "While Sen. Clinton will honor her commitment not to campaign in Florida in violation of the pledge, she also intends to honor her pledge to hear the voices of all Americans," the campaign says. "The people of Michigan and Florida have just as much of a right to have their voices heard as anyone else. It is disappointing to hear a major Democratic presidential candidate tell the voters of any state that their voices aren't important ... Sen. Clinton intends to be president for all fifty states. And while she will honor the pledge she signed and not campaign in either state, she intends to continue to give every American a voice during this election and when she gets to the White House."

    I now fully expect you to begin ranting about how Obama doesn't deserve any delegates or votes from MI or FL because he was telling people the elections didn't count.

    [cricket cricket cricket]

    Parent

    Why would I be upset? (1.00 / 1) (#177)
    by minordomo on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:19:20 PM EST
    Obama and Clinton were correct when they said the election did not count. That's not an attempt to suppress votes on their part, they were simply supporting the DNC decision. (Not that I agree with the DNC decision - I don't - but that is what it is.)

    But the voters being told their votes would not count - by the DNC, the media, the candidates etc. - was a factor that contributed to making it a spoiled election. (Were they supposed to keep the DNC decision a secret?)

    Parent

    The DNC decision was wrong (none / 0) (#179)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:25:01 PM EST
    for the people and for the party, that's why.

    Parent
    As I've said before - (none / 0) (#182)
    by minordomo on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:29:00 PM EST
    - I'm none too happy with the DNC's decision, and I am angry about that. A 50% penalty would have been more appropriate and would have avoided this whole mess.

    But how do you get the tube back in the toothpaste?

    Parent

    good question (none / 0) (#200)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:41:21 PM EST
    where's that damned time machine?

    Parent
    Betcha one thing (none / 0) (#198)
    by txpolitico67 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:39:40 PM EST
    those votes count in November.  Chalk up one for the Democratic party WOO HOOO!

    Parent
    I am. (none / 0) (#132)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:55:12 PM EST
    The Dems stepped in it with how they dealt with this. I think they expected a clear winner before now so they would not have to deal with it. By not being decisive and early in their decision they opened the process up to propaganda and political influence. It's disgraceful.

    Parent
    Yup! (5.00 / 1) (#139)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:58:05 PM EST
    I blame the DNC for the original mess, not either of the candidates.

    I certainly prefer Hillary's approach to Obama's on how to resolve it, however. Re-votes would have been the best idea IMHO.

    Parent

    revotes (none / 0) (#144)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:00:38 PM EST
    would.

    I agree.

    Parent

    Ridiculous (none / 0) (#214)
    by xspowr on Fri May 30, 2008 at 04:25:15 PM EST
    Shifting ground and making baseless accusations that I have "no problem with voter suppression techniques" reveals the poverty of your analysis regarding voter disenfranchisement, the subject of the original post and my response. Moreover, your facts are simply wrong with respect to the claim that everyone concerned "agreed the election would not count" (as numerous replies have already called out your BS on that point, I won't belabor it further).

    Far from voters being told to stay home because the elections wouldn't count, in both FL and MI the primaries and the DNC sanctions were around-the-clock stories in the media; voters were clearly angry and opposed to the sanctions; and state parties and officials urged all eligible voters to turn out and vote, which is precisely what happened. Indeed, the Obama campaign and its surrogates, in an arguable violation of the no-campaign pledge, urged Obama voters in Michigan to turn out and vote "uncommitted" to curry favor in Iowa and embarrass Clinton, hardly a tactic from the voter suppression manual. Even if a handful of voters, who clearly cared nothing about downticket races or other state issues, stayed home, there is no evidence to suggest that the "suppression" effect would have been greater for one campaign over another; i.e., even if some Obama supporters stayed home, so did some Clinton supporters, Edwards supporters, etc., such that the proportional results among the candidates would have remained statistically the same. The suppression argument is a non-starter on all counts.

    Finally, you wrongly conflate disenfranchisement with suppression. Disenfranchisement almost always results from some "official" act by a state or a party attempting to skew an electoral outcome by preventing votes or ignoring votes from a particular subset of voters. Suppression, by contrast, is typically a tactical move by a campaign to depress turnout for an opponent. You know, like where one campaign and its allies in the MSM and on the blogs prematurely claim a nonexistent victory to suppress turnout in upcoming contests favoring an opponent.

    Parent

    I see. (5.00 / 1) (#215)
    by minordomo on Fri May 30, 2008 at 04:48:21 PM EST
    Moreover, your facts are simply wrong with respect to the claim that everyone concerned "agreed the election would not count" (as numerous replies have already called out your BS on that point, I won't belabor it further).

    And nobody backed it up. Perhaps you have an answer:  who did not agree that it would not count at the time of the election?

    Far from voters being told to stay home because the elections wouldn't count, in both FL and MI the primaries and the DNC sanctions were around-the-clock stories in the media; voters were clearly angry and opposed to the sanctions; and state parties and officials urged all eligible voters to turn out and vote, which is precisely what happened.

    What does that change about the fact that voters were told their votes would not count?

    Indeed, the Obama campaign and its surrogates, in an arguable violation of the no-campaign pledge, urged Obama voters in Michigan to turn out and vote "uncommitted" to curry favor in Iowa and embarrass Clinton, hardly a tactic from the voter suppression manual.

    That this tactic was used does not change the fact that voter suppression occurred as a result of the election allegedly not counting.

    Even if a handful of voters, who clearly cared nothing about downticket races or other state issues, stayed home, there is no evidence to suggest that the "suppression" effect would have been greater for one campaign over another; i.e., even if some Obama supporters stayed home, so did some Clinton supporters, Edwards supporters, etc., such that the proportional results among the candidates would have remained statistically the same.

    Do you have any basis in fact whatsoever for your claims that (1) only a handful of voters were affected, and (2) that the proportional results among the candidates would have remained statistically the same? 'Cos it sounds like you're just making it up - but I'll be glad to have you prove me wrong with facts.

    Finally, you wrongly conflate disenfranchisement with suppression.

    I understand the difference. They are related but not identical.

    You know, like where one campaign and its allies in the MSM and on the blogs prematurely claim a nonexistent victory to suppress turnout in upcoming contests favoring an opponent.

    ?? Okay, so voters being told an election does not count has no effect on voter turnout, but voters being told a candidate is in the lead (even a commanding lead) amounts to voter suppression.

    Gotcha. That makes a lot of sense.

    Parent

    The powers that be wouldn't let (5.00 / 2) (#44)
    by zfran on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:05:44 PM EST
    your State have a re-vote. Obama was part of that decision. Clinton wanted a re-vote, even tho' she had won in Florida.

    Parent
    How could you or your wife not vote in January (5.00 / 4) (#54)
    by FLVoter on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:13:39 PM EST
    29, 2008 election.  Not only was it the primary election for the dems and repubs but we also had an incredibly important amendment to the Florida Constitution doubling the homestead excemption and caping increases on commerical or investment property. That your wife believed her vote would not count is no excuse for not voting in the January 29, 2008 election.  Even independents came out to vote that day just for the Florida Constitution Amendment on the ballot.  

    If you are disenfranchised by not coming out to vote, you did it to yourself.

    Parent

    who ever convinced her to do that is responsible. (5.00 / 2) (#69)
    by Salo on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:20:29 PM EST
    And she's responsible too.

    There were other measures on the ballot. She could also have voted in the GOP primary. Paul was an excellent spoiler.

    Parent

    Judging from the response (1.00 / 4) (#97)
    by brad12345 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:34:57 PM EST
    There appears to be no reasonable answer--so instead, the commenters will just insult your wife.

    Parent
    Not fair (5.00 / 2) (#123)
    by Democratic Cat on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:48:28 PM EST
    People shouldn't insult, but I provided a reasonable answer: unless there is evidence that the Obama supporters were more likely to stay home, then the vote split and implied delegate split fairly reflects voter opinions.

    Parent
    I bet you lived (none / 0) (#133)
    by ding7777 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:55:58 PM EST
    in the Panhandle in 2000 and your wife was in line to vote for Bush when 10 minutes before the polls closed a radio station announced Gore the winner so your wife walked out without voting

    /snark  

    Parent

    Bamboozled, not disenfranchised (none / 0) (#140)
    by ineedalife on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:58:05 PM EST
    Somebody giving you wrong information bamboozles you. Somebody officialy denying your voting rights disenfranchises you.

    People do not vote for any number of reasons. Obama has, for months now, been trying to suppress Hillary's vote by creating the impression she can't win. If you buy into it you are not disenfranchised, you are gullible.

    There was always the possibility of appeal and restoration of delegates to FL and MI. It wasn't well publicized but I knew about it and I don't live in either of those states. If not, why would Obama campaign to get voters to vote uncommitted in MI? He certainly appreciated the possibility.

    Parent

    there's a school of blogger (3.00 / 2) (#70)
    by Edgar08 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:20:33 PM EST
    that teaches: everytime a politician takes a different strategy than the one advised, you report it as concession to the other side.

    there is a school of blogger (5.00 / 1) (#71)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:21:28 PM EST
    who offers his honest opinions.

    then there are the shills.

    Parent

    Just so everybody knows (none / 0) (#30)
    by digdugboy on Fri May 30, 2008 at 01:58:00 PM EST
    Seating half the delegates instead of giving half a vote to each delegate results in a substantial difference. If they seat only half the delegates, then half the delegates are removed in each district. This will change the district by district award of delegates so that Clinton will net only six more delegates out of Florida than will Obama.

    The other thing with 1/2 delegates vs 1/2 votes (none / 0) (#118)
    by samanthasmom on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:43:39 PM EST
    is if only half of the delegates show up at the convention and the credentials committee agrees to seat the entire delegation, half of the people might still be home in Florida.

    Parent
    The MI & FL disenfranchisement (none / 0) (#36)
    by Newt on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:01:32 PM EST
    issue could be a great opportunity for the DNC to complete a mail-in revote for FL in MI, sometime in the next month. The Clinton campaign should be willing to agree to it since it could show she really does have more of the popular vote.  The Obama campaign might agree to a revote at this point because they would hope the new results are better than when the original voting took place.  (The claim is that once people get to hear/know him, they are more likely to dismiss the false claims about him.)  

    The revote can be modeled after the Oregon process, and the DNC and both states could utilize the equipment and other infrastructure we already have in place.  That is, ballots would be printed with the same contracting companies we use, and mailed by the two states (or the DNC).  They would then be counted using our equipment, with the DNC footing the bill.  

    What we as voters get from this could be:

    1. A proven workable solution to election issues that can be proposed in courts across the nation where and when elections are challenged.
    2. A path for a federal elections bill to demand full audit accountability with paper ballots, based on this successful solution to the FL & MI problem.
    3. DNC control of the Dem primary, in the sense that future Repub-led changes to states' primary dates wouldn't disrupt our nominating process.
    4. The Oregon model would become a standard across the nation, and would get the press time it deserves.
    5. Lane and other struggling counties could receive a substantial input of funding by contracting to do the actual counting and verifying of ballots.

    Is this idea doable?  Worth pursuing?


    I've always been for a re-vote (5.00 / 0) (#40)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:04:23 PM EST
    in both states.

    Who knows what will happen? This is the craziest primary I've ever seen.

    Parent

    I agree completely. n/t (none / 0) (#49)
    by minordomo on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:11:32 PM EST
    n/t

    Parent
    The idea was pursued (5.00 / 2) (#45)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:06:28 PM EST
    back in March/April.  Obama was against the idea.

    Parent
    I'm asking is it worth it to Hillary to pursue it (none / 0) (#66)
    by Newt on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:19:05 PM EST
    again.  The Obama camp may be willing this time around, plus going mail-in helps the Democratic party in the future, for reasons cited above.

    Worth pursuing again?

    Parent

    I would support it (none / 0) (#92)
    by madamab on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:33:10 PM EST
    but I have no idea if the DNC or Obama would go for it.

    They mention it in the letter, so maybe...

    Parent

    Mail In's can be difficult to get right. Oregon (none / 0) (#204)
    by Christy1947 on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:45:07 PM EST
    has a method, but they have been tweaking it for nearly twenty years to get it to work properly. And that's Oregon. A mail-in here as FLA's first try may, based on Oregon's experience, create as many problems as it solves, all of them of the hanging-chad variety.

    Parent
    To put it bluntly (none / 0) (#56)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:15:13 PM EST
    The 20c7 argument is utter nonsense.

    If Clinton does not challenge the August 25 RBC ruling, then it is impossible for them to invoke 20c7 as the positive provable steps MUST include actions to prevent the enactment of legislation that breaks the DNC rules.

    Florida's argument on 8/25 was rejected and either that decision must be rescinded, in which case further  20c7 is irrelevant as Florida qualifies already, or this argument AUTOMATICALLY LOSES.

    For Michigan it is even worse, as they enacted the legislation and the Democrats were behind it. Michigan can not even fall into this argument.

    Unlike Jeralyn I find these arguments not only NOT excellent, I find them laughably bad. For those unfamiliar with Rule @0 c 7 it states:

    The state party shall have the burden of proving by clear and convincing evidence that it and the other relevant Democratic party leaders and elected officials took all provable, positive steps and acted in good faith to achieve legislative changes to bring the state law into compliance with the pertinent provisions of these rules and that it and the other relevant Democratic party leaders and elected officials took all provable, positive steps and acted in
    good faith in attempting to prevent the legislative changes which resulted in state
    law that fails to comply with the pertinent provisions of these rules.

    The word is AND, NOT OR. They needed to try and prevent the legislation AND then overturn it AFTER it became law according to 20c7.

    The Clinton campaign should NEVER EVER have conceded that Florida broke the rules. that has doomed them in my view.

    Their arguments are atrocious, not excellent.

    So it seems that Ickes was not speaking (none / 0) (#82)
    by andgarden on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:29:24 PM EST
    out of school.

    Parent
    I ahve no idea what they are thinking (none / 0) (#95)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:34:32 PM EST
    I asked Ickes what the basis would be for full reinstatement and he did not tell me except "they can."

    Now I see the letter and his answer  is in line with it - and equally bad. According to 20c7 if we accept the Clinton argument that FL and MI broke the rules before and did nothing to prevent the rule breaking, then the RBC can not award the full delegates.

    The Clinton camp had to challenge the 8/25 ruling, not accept it.

    Parent

    Listening to his answer (none / 0) (#104)
    by andgarden on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:37:12 PM EST
    it seems he gave lots of reasons WHY they should seat them, but no reasons why they are able to.


    Parent
    Where are you listening to the answer? (none / 0) (#153)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:03:41 PM EST
    The audio (none / 0) (#180)
    by americanincanada on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:25:26 PM EST
    of the call is now available to be downloaded.

    Parent
    Audio is (none / 0) (#184)
    by andgarden on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:29:16 PM EST
    here. The start of your question is cutoff, but the whole answer is there.

    Parent
    I don't see (none / 0) (#84)
    by flyerhawk on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:29:54 PM EST
    how this is any different than what BTD relayed regarding the conference call.

    They still aren't using NH, IA, and SC as an argument to seat Fl and MI.

    They are implicitly accepting that the delegations may well end up with half-delegates.  They continue to argue for full seatings both in this letter and the conf call.

    the difference is (none / 0) (#90)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:32:14 PM EST
    Jeralyn finds the arguments excellent and I find them atrocious.

    Parent
    my head is exploding (5.00 / 1) (#107)
    by bjorn on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:39:16 PM EST
    I can't wait to hear from the campaign why they did no go down the road of the best legal argument????
    How can their strategy be both excellent and atrocious???  

     

    Parent

    Lawyers. . . (5.00 / 2) (#111)
    by andgarden on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:40:32 PM EST
    :D

    Parent
    Are you sure you want to be one? (5.00 / 2) (#116)
    by bjorn on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:42:48 PM EST
    heh (none / 0) (#181)
    by andgarden on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:28:29 PM EST
    yup.

    Parent
    it will be decided soon (none / 0) (#136)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:56:19 PM EST
    I hope

    Parent
    If wishes were fishes (none / 0) (#85)
    by coigue on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:30:47 PM EST
    I'd click my heels three times and wish that Obama and Hil had kept out of it and allowed the DNC to determine the outcome based on the best thing for the party and the general election.

    Instead, it's super-politicized. I am a wimp, I just have no stomach for this at all.

    OMFG! Someone went and politicized politics!?!?! (5.00 / 1) (#211)
    by Ellie on Fri May 30, 2008 at 04:02:31 PM EST
    Dude, you just unblew my mind! [/Stephen Colbert is so hot to me right now]

    Parent
    Sen. Clinton wants to keep her options open (none / 0) (#102)
    by daryl herbert on Fri May 30, 2008 at 02:35:46 PM EST
    Although they oppose any 50% solution, seating all the delegates with 1/2 vote is less harmful than seating 50% of the delegates and giving those 50% a full vote.

    Yesterday, I wrote:

    [DNC officials] are afraid that if a full-size delegation shows up, there would be protests/demands that everyone gets a full vote.

    But if a half-size delegation shows up, nobody is going to protest that everyone in the half-size delegation should get 2 votes.

    I think that's why Hillary has a preference.

    Flourney's claim.... (none / 0) (#171)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:16:11 PM EST
    re rule 11...

    here is rule 11...

    No meetings, caucuses, conventions or primaries which constitute the first determining stage in the presidential nomination process (the date of the primary in primary states, and the date of the first tier caucus in caucus states) may be held prior to the first Tuesday in February or after the second Tuesday in June in the calendar year of the national convention. Provided, however, that the Iowa precinct caucuses may be held no earlier than 22 days before the first Tuesday in February; that the Nevada first-tier caucuses may be held no earlier than 17 days before the first Tuesday in February; that the New Hampshire primary may be held no earlier than 14 days before the first Tuesday in February; and that the South Carolina primary may be held no earlier than 7 days before the first Tuesday in February. In no instance may a state which scheduled delegate selection procedures on or between the first Tuesday in February and the second Tuesday in June 1984 move out of compliance with the provisions of this rule.

    now, either "provided' mean that other states couldn't break the first tuesday rule as long as IA, NH, SC, and NV stayed within the rules (in which case, MI is off the hook entirely) or "provided" is there to provide the four states the right to hold their contests on of after the listed dates...

    I see no "rule" concerning a "window" -- the word "window" does not appear in the rules, and nothing that I can find says that there is a specific "window" that these four states could move around in at whim...."

    so what is Fournoy saying?

    Ickes said the same thing (none / 0) (#178)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:21:05 PM EST
    It is completely made up. that is Levin's point.

    This was essential to Michigan's case.

    The clinton Camp completely killed Michigan with its statements today. the arguments are atrocious.

    Parent

    Does fournoy know the rules? (none / 0) (#202)
    by p lukasiak on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:42:26 PM EST
    what did you make of Fournoy's claim that there are no rules prohibiting candidates from campaigning in Michigan and Florida in light of 20 C 1 b

    A presidential candidate who campaigns in a state where the state party is in violation of the timing provisions of these rules, or where a primary or caucus is set by a state's government on a date that violates the timing provisions of these rules, may not receive pledged delegates or delegate votes from that state. Candidates may, however, campaign in such a state after the primary or caucus that violates these rules. "Campaigning" for purposes of this section includes, but is not limited to, purchasing print, internet, or electronic advertising that reaches a significant percentage of the voters in the aforementioned state; hiring campaign workers; opening an office; making public appearances; holding news conferences; coordinating volunteer activities; sending mail, other than fundraising requests that are also sent to potential donors in other states; using paid or volunteer phoners or automated calls to contact voters; sending emails or establishing a website specific to that state; holding events to which Democratic voters are invited; attending events sponsored by state or local Democratic organizations; or paying for campaign materials to be used in such a state.

    I mean, does think woman have no clue about the rules themselves?

    Parent

    I haven't a clue what's going on from here (none / 0) (#210)
    by Militarytracy on Fri May 30, 2008 at 03:55:10 PM EST
    It is interesting though.