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No Flip, Today's Attack Flops

Funny headline:

Target: Barack Obama. Strategy: What Day Is It?

The McCain campaign's shotgun attack strategy would be more effective if the campaign had any ammunition with which to load the gun. Today's attack:

On Thursday McCain aides and the Republican National Committee pounced on a comment by Mr. Obama that he would be willing to “refine” his long-held plan to withdraw all combat troops from Iraq within his first 16 months in office.

Because an inflexible unwillingness to respond to changing conditions, even at risk of further endangering lives, is principled? Obama's response:

"We're going to try this again. Apparently I wasn't clear enough this morning on my position with respect to the war in Iraq. I have said throughout this campaign that this war was ill-conceived, that it was a strategic blunder and that it needs to come to an end."

The Illinois senator added, "I have also said that I would be deliberate and careful in how we got out, that we would bring our troops home at a pace of one to two brigades per month and that at that pace we would have our combat troops out in 16 months. That position has not changed."

Do you have a superior withdrawal plan, Senator McCain? Oh, that's right ....

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    Obama wasn't flipping. But he was bringing (5.00 / 1) (#7)
    by tigercourse on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:33:41 PM EST
    "nuance" to the subject of how many troops would be left behind after we have withdrawn. Think about that for a second.

    Yeah, hey, isn't that... (3.00 / 4) (#31)
    by ribbon on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:07:43 PM EST
    exactly what context McCain was talking about when he sated matter of factly that troops could remain in Iraq for 100 years. Sounded reasonable to me when McCain said it.

    Supporting the surge and advocating an increase in troop levels years before Bush conceded the fact that Iraq needed more troops trumps some stump speech to a gang of hippies in Chicago in 2002 anyday.

    Obama's "superior judgment" on Iraq stems from his ability to engage in the single-most obvious exercise of arm-chair quarterbacking I have ever seen in my entire life.

    Parent

    Yeah, but (none / 0) (#68)
    by gyrfalcon on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:47:45 PM EST
    according to what he said today, most of those withdrawn troops will be withdrawn to Afghanistan.

    Parent
    Don't forget Pakistan!! (5.00 / 2) (#77)
    by MarkL on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:54:22 PM EST
    Is anyone besides me (none / 0) (#141)
    by Grace on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:50:58 AM EST
    worried about Obama and Iran?  

    If Israel decided to bomb Iran, I think it would take President Obama so looooooong to decide what to do.  He be thinking and thinking...  And a few weeks later he'd have a plan...  And an hour later he'd change his mind...  And an hour after that he'd be trying to explain the nuances between his first plan and his second plan and why they were both really the same plan, they just sounded different...  

    In the meantime, Iran would be shipping whatever nuclear weapons they had left via rubber raft or gondola so they could angle up close enough to the USA to hit us...  So, basically Iranian boats would have to be like 20 miles off our shores....

    And President Obama would still be thinking and changing his mind and trying to decide what to do and what clever name he could give the plan and what kind of speeches he could give in front of how many flags...  And lapel pin or no lapel pin?  Important things....  

    And the USA would suffer it's very first nuclear attack.  

    This scenario scares me.  I want a President who is decisive!    

    Parent

    what on earth are you talking about? (5.00 / 1) (#164)
    by tben on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 07:50:23 AM EST
    When has Obama ever been indecisive on matters of war and peace? He came out early with a strong position on this war, one that Sen. Clinton was either too scared (for her career), or to unwise to adopt, and he has stuck with it.


    Parent
    I can't see Iran attacking the US (none / 0) (#144)
    by MyLeftMind on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 03:02:25 AM EST
    I'm more afraid our own government would facilitate slipping in a dirty bomb somewhere in the Northwest and using it to scare the electorate into voting for military man McCain.

    Or worse, Bush would use it to put into effect his continuance of government act and cancel the November elections altogether.

    Parent

    Ya know, I've been talking about (none / 0) (#161)
    by zfran on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 07:42:31 AM EST
    this for a couple of years. It just seems that Bush has this no care attitude and it begam to worry me and he appeared so calm in his "convictions" that I began to think that maybe he knows something that the rest of us don't, namely, he will in essence re-elect himself!!! Too scary. P.S. Everyone I ever said this to thought I was nuts!@

    Parent
    lets hope so (none / 0) (#162)
    by tben on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 07:46:46 AM EST
    Thats where they should have been all along.

    Parent
    Heh (5.00 / 3) (#39)
    by Steve M on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:13:58 PM EST
    Kerry was hurt by not HAVING a position on Iraq in the minds of voters.  I seriously hope we've drawn a lesson from the 2004 campaign better than "don't make any horrible sound bites, and you can get away with whatever vague position you like."

    Actually (none / 0) (#165)
    by Jgarza on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 07:52:49 AM EST
    fighting the last election is never a good idea, this isn't the Kerry Bush election, and the flip flopper charge makes no sense.  Unlike Bush v Kerry where Kerry was seen as a Flip flopper and bush was not, both McCain and Obama are seen as flip floppers
    Poll

    Parent
    Bush in 2000 and 2004 (5.00 / 0) (#56)
    by Valhalla on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:39:28 PM EST
    Flip flopped plenty, but he always flip-flopped with conviction.

    There was no mealy-mouthed, mushy talk of 'inartful' prior statements or long, wordy explanations of how nothing he said today was a contradiction to the opposite thing he said the day before.

    This country is in crisis, and people are looking for hook to hang their coats on, not a moveable feast to chase.

    Heh (5.00 / 3) (#64)
    by Steve M on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:46:03 PM EST
    What is this thing that I've made up my mind about, but you haven't?

    Also, screw you for the "you live in a bubble" cheap shot.  I'll tell you who lives in a freakin' reality of his own invention, the guy who claims there is anti-Obama rhetoric at this site worse than what you'd see at redstate or freerepublic.

    I hear all sorts of harsh anti-Obama rhetoric in my professional and social life, and I'm not talking about wingnuts, I'm talking about people who voted for Kerry.  You can make all the self-righteous speeches you like about how everyone loves Barack except the dead-enders here at TalkLeft, but that won't make it true.  I'm frankly having a very hard time reconciling the poll numbers with the stuff I hear from regular people on a daily basis, and it has zero to do with thinking the commentariat at TL is a fair sampling.

    It's possible that (none / 0) (#70)
    by Salo on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:49:39 PM EST
    our nudges and criticisms are helping Obama a bit.  I tend to think we are a bit ahead of the curve on how the media are going to treat Obama.

    Parent
    Although the site rules are important (none / 0) (#101)
    by Steve M on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:38:29 AM EST
    it is a shame that anydemwilldo's claim that there is anti-Obama rhetoric at TL worse than what you'd see at redstate or freerepublic is now lost to posterity.

    Parent
    Not Really Lost (none / 0) (#104)
    by squeaky on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:43:19 AM EST
    Because we can take your words for it. You seem like an honest guy...

    Parent
    Heh (5.00 / 1) (#113)
    by Steve M on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:09:17 AM EST
    A saint I tell you!  It's just that 99% of lawyers insist on giving the rest of us a bad name...

    Parent
    Here's the thing (5.00 / 1) (#74)
    by Steve M on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:51:27 PM EST
    You don't have to believe a single thing a politician says to recognize that what they say still makes a difference.  What would make you think that Obama will end the war out of political expedience, when he doesn't even see it as politically expedient to SAY he will end the war, other than in a Democratic primary?

    Except at the outmost margins, the public is not going to be any more down on the Iraq war than they already are.  By a 2-1 margin, Americans think the next President should prioritize "bringing the troops home" over "winning the war."  That's as clear a consensus as you will get, and yet Obama still wants to hem and haw and talk about being responsible.  If you expect to see the war end by 2010, you're not a cynic, in fact you're entirely faith-based on that issue.

    Do the Democrats (5.00 / 2) (#82)
    by Steve M on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:58:38 PM EST
    act like they believe bringing the troops home will help them politically?

    Parent
    I am talking about (5.00 / 4) (#100)
    by Steve M on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:31:15 AM EST
    the Dems who are in office, not the Dems who want to be in office.

    All the Dems who ran in 2006 campaigned on how awesome it would be to bring the troops home.  Look at how they behave in office.  Do they act as though they think it would be politically beneficial to bring the troops home?

    The Democrats have concluded that campaigning on bringing the troops home is good politics, but actually doing it is not.  Show me where I'm wrong.

    Parent

    This may be the single most (none / 0) (#184)
    by Anne on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 09:21:48 AM EST
    ridiculous statement I have read.

    Goes hand-in-hand with MyLeftMind's theory that Obama is pandering now and will morph into Super-Dem after he is elected.

    If all else fails, this kind of thinking might find real-world application in the pretzel business.

    Parent

    here's an interesting article on Obama's (5.00 / 2) (#155)
    by kempis on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 06:04:21 AM EST
    Iraq policy, it transformation, and its likely direction:

    link

    In reality, I'm not so sure there would be a drastic difference in the approaches taken by McCain and Obama in Iraq. At this point, Petraeus is being hailed as a the miracle worker, so either would defer to him for fear of stirring up the hornet's nest again and getting the blame for it.

    I know Obama-supporters who think that if Obama is elected, he'll end the Iraq War within 16 months. They're going to be disappointed. In their view, however, they've bought the Obama campaign's contrast on the issue: McCain likes war in general and we'll be there forever; Obama thinks this war is stupid and will wrap it up and get the troops home ASAP.

    Not gonna happen.

    not so (5.00 / 1) (#160)
    by Jgarza on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 07:39:14 AM EST
    I know Obama-supporters who think that if Obama is elected, he'll end the Iraq War within 16 months.

    Maybe in your caricature of Obama supporters, but I think most think realistically after his first term there will be a significant draw down in the presence in Iraq.

    There is a pretty clear distinction between him and McCain, Obama is for a draw down, McCain is for continuing what we are doing.  McCain actually has the bigger issues, he supports a permanent presence in Iraq, even if that took the shape of Korea, which i don't think is possible, the Iraqi's probably would never pay us like Korea.

    Parent

    I'm not intending to caricature (5.00 / 1) (#180)
    by kempis on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 09:00:02 AM EST
    Obama supporters. I really do know some who think he'll end the Iraq War quickly. I wouldn't have said so if I didn't.

    I think they're overly idealistic and I think that either McCain or Obama will take their lead from Petraeus. In fact, Obama has said as much. Obama has said that in his ideal scenario, we draw down a battalion or two per month, effectively pulling out combat forces in 16 months. BUT he's left himself wiggle room for "facts on the ground" and the advice of the commanders.

    I really think that in the end, both McCain and Obama will follow Petraeus on Iraq--just as the Democratic Congress has done. Either Obama's withdrawal or McCain's staying til hell freezes over is just red-meat for each candidate's respective base.

    Parent

    The obvious difference (none / 0) (#189)
    by brodie on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 09:40:31 AM EST
    is that McCain seems to be just peachy with how things are going in Iraq with the 160k US troop level, and so he would be perfectly content to stay at that amount, if not quite for 100 yrs, then for the entirety of his term.  No substantial withdrawal under a Pres McCain  in other words.

    Obama has been fairly consistent about going rather immediately into withdrawing troops at the 1-2 brigade/mo pace, and hasn't been inconsistent about also needing to check in with the generals about the situation on the ground.  That's just sane and sensible CnC conduct.  

    He isn't and never has set his feet in concrete on a timeline, since it was always qualified, and is not letting the generals dictate whether the withdrawals will begin and continue, but he is going to listen to their advice as to the rate of withdrawal as it affects the safety of the remaining troops.  Perfectly sensible approach and no evidence whatsoever of flip-floppery.  

    Failure to heed their advice, in fact, would have opened him up to valid Repub charges in the GE that he was being reckless with US lives in slavishly adhering to an artificial timeline.

    He also would be putting himself on the wrong side of the military right from the git-go -- not exactly the best place for a fairly liberal Dem president who's never served to be in.  Of course, once he's sworn in, he might be well advised to put someone in charge in Iraq who would be more inclined to be sympathetic to a consistent and steady withdrawal, someone he feels would loyally implement, and not surreptitiously undercut, his policy.  

    Parent

    What criminal acts are those? (5.00 / 1) (#168)
    by Radix on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 08:00:56 AM EST
    The telecoms will be given retroactive immunity, so they can't be prosecuted. As for his stance on Iraq, you are correct, he never said that had a "firm" date in mind, only that he might have one, to sum Obama up his statements. It was dishonest, on the part of his supporters to claim he did have a firm date and no one else commitment could be trusted. How about his change on Pro-Choice, that is clearly an "evolving" stance?

    You, imo, misread the electorate (5.00 / 1) (#171)
    by zfran on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 08:14:20 AM EST
    and those in it who believe Obama is not qualified to be potus. There is no personal dislike, at least for me. When you campaign on a promise of change, and you preach gospelly about change, and then you act worse than most politicians, then you get what you vote for. Some of us feel this country deserves better than that. It's not that Hillary lost, it's not that Edwards lost, it's that Obama didn't win fairly and he has changed most of positions w/o even blinking. The only thing, imo, that is changed, is me, who will vote country this year, not person, not party. Obama is a follower, not a leader. We need a leader, my opinion only!!

    I don't believe in heroes (none / 0) (#175)
    by zfran on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 08:24:07 AM EST
    much anymore. I believe we are all heroes within ourselves (corny, I know). But I think we need someone who fights for more than just him/herself. I want someone who is willing to take on the fight to restore this country and its people.

    Hero

    Parent

    He was going to vote Roberts. (5.00 / 1) (#186)
    by zfran on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 09:24:57 AM EST
    You can google and find those results. In voting for president, there is not "right or wrong" vote. Welcome to America, we get to vote our choice. Problem is, the choices this year are less than acceptable to me. I have been around a long time, have been a staunch dem for a long time, I am bringing up dem children....Obama is not standing up for dem principles and therefore he has not "earned" my vote. I will not, once again, vote for someone just because they have a "d" after their name. Me, my children, and you, imo, deserve so much better, especially after the last 8 years.

    Do they think we are all stupid? (3.85 / 7) (#30)
    by Anne on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:05:40 PM EST
    I mean, I am getting pretty tired of them trying to sell me on the beauty of Obama changing his positions as often as he changes his underwear; he might as well start running bright and sunny ads that say "Don't like what I'm saying today?  Tune in tomorrow for a whole new outlook!"

    Leading in accordance with one's principles and core beliefs does not mean that everything is black and white - it doesn't rule out the gray,  being open to the options within that personal boundary that may be available as circumstances change - but the circumstance that tops the list should not be "need to get votes from XYZ demographic," and that's the circumstance that many of us see as controlling here.

    Does the 4th Amendment mean anything to Obama?  Does he believe in reproductive freedom or not?  DOes he believe in the separation of church and state?  Does he believe in equal rights or not?

    "MyLeftMind" will no doubt inform us that Obama is simple operating within his "gray" area - that's just his flexibility showing.  But that would mean that there is nothing but gray for Obama, and that means he is devoid of substance.

    On Iraq, he boxed himself into that corner all by himself, so eager was he to be the anti-war candidate to get the anti-Hillary vote. Okay, fine, Barack - now you're one election away from being the president, with that big, sloppy mess of a war on your plate.  But you know as well as I do that you still have to be the anti-war candidate to garner the anti-war vote, even though you know as well as we all do that there is no way it is going to be as simple as just "bringing them home."

    Bamboozling is about all he has at this point; there's nothing else there, at the core.

    Welllllllllll (5.00 / 1) (#38)
    by cawaltz on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:12:52 PM EST
    he Appalachians pretty much span all 58 of our great and majestic states. ;)

    Parent
    short answer, Yes (none / 0) (#45)
    by RalphB on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:27:53 PM EST
    No (none / 0) (#94)
    by Salo on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:17:43 AM EST
    The US government is an Imperial hegemon.

    voters are niether here nor there.  If there had been universal suffrage in Victorian England they'd have elected Palmerston, Disraeli, Wellington etc...just the same as the voters in the limited franchise elected them.

    It's just the historical condition of the US. A slightly more benign version of Rome.

    Parent

    Grey? I hope it is very intentional. (none / 0) (#133)
    by MyLeftMind on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:21:03 AM EST
    Myleftmind thinks Obama has to straddle the line on these issues because that's what it's going to take to win.  In a perfect world we'd have a candidate that stood up for all the issues we care about.  But I live in America, where gays are oppressed, blacks are unfairly treated in the justice system, Hispanic immigrants are scapegoated, and many, many people think someone like McCain could actually keep us safe and fix the economy.

    What w have is a candidate who is either pandering to the right or who is a stealth Republican.  I can't see any way for him to take strong stands on Iraq/FISA/choice and still win.  


    Parent

    Even though a large majority of Americans (5.00 / 1) (#145)
    by shoephone on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 03:24:08 AM EST
    is opposed to telecom immunity AND think the Iraq War was a mistake.

    And Bush's approval rating is 23%.

    Yeah, that would sure be brave of Obama to stand strong on those issues.

    Parent

    You think that perceived flip-flopping (3.66 / 3) (#3)
    by MarkL on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:23:20 PM EST
    is NOT a weakness?  Hmmmmm

    I don't really see your point. (3.66 / 3) (#8)
    by MarkL on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:33:48 PM EST
    A flip flop, by definition, brings into question a candidate's honesty. The more serious the issue, the bigger the question raised. Obama has flip-flopped on some of the very biggest questions, IMO.

    Honesty? No. (5.00 / 1) (#10)
    by anydemwilldo on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:39:51 PM EST
    By that logic, every time you make a mistake you're implicitly being dishonest.  Changing one's mind isn't the same as lying.

    Now, obviously you don't see this as Obama "changing his mind", because you distrust the guy already.  You are more willing to believe either that he's lying now or was lying earlier.  Which is your right, of course.  But the point is that you've already made up your mind about his honesty and are just using this as evidence.

    But needless to say, you (and I, and pretty much everyone commenting on a political blog everywhere) aren't the target market here.  We've already made up our minds, and the change of position isn't going to make a difference.  But to the undecided voters, this tends to look more like "changing his mind" as facts change.  That's normal.  Whether it's good or not depends on what you think of his new position.  If it's closer to your opinion, then you like it.

    Ergo, politicians flip flop around until they arrive (surprise!) at a reasonable approximation of their voter's opinions.  The are advantages to flopping too, which is why they do it.

    Parent

    Too much verbiage for a simple point (5.00 / 2) (#12)
    by MarkL on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:42:32 PM EST
    We will see whether or not the flip-flop attack works. I think it will work because Obama is  largely undefined to the public, so a lack of core message will hurt him. You feel otherwise.
    Wait and see.

    Parent
    Umm (none / 0) (#125)
    by mbuchel on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:53:41 AM EST
    What, exactly, was today's flip flop?  I didn't hear Obama say anything different than what I heard and understood from him throughout the campaign - he wants to bring the troops home on a 16 month timeline, but factors on the ground will have an influence.

    Parent
    right (5.00 / 1) (#18)
    by TimNCGuy on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:53:41 PM EST
    that's why the repug charges of flip flopping against Kerry didn't work and he won the election...oh, wait a minute, i forgot

    Parent
    Read up two posts (1.00 / 0) (#25)
    by anydemwilldo on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:01:43 PM EST
    Where I mention Kerry.  He wasn't hurt by flip flopping itself.  His new position was actually popular.  It was the gaffe that hurt him.  Here's a great Poblano post on this issue.

    Parent
    There may be a different set of standards... (5.00 / 2) (#27)
    by EL seattle on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:01:58 PM EST
    applied if you're running as a new kind of candidate and "change" was a big part of your campaign through the primaries.  Flip-flopping might be buisiness as usual, but it might not be the change that a lot of folks were waiting for.

    Parent
    Not to mention (5.00 / 0) (#158)
    by BernieO on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 07:26:25 AM EST
    Obama's big claim was to be a different kind of politician.
    Early in the primaries my twenty-eight year old son said he was worried that so many of Obama's supporters who were getting involved in politics for the first time would wind up disillusioned and cynical. Those of us who are political junkies forget that not everyone realizes that politicians always flip flop to get elected so you have to discount what they say. By Obama changing his stand on so many issues he will turn millions off to politics.

    My favorite flopper this year is Elizabeth Dole. She recently came out in favor of offshore drilling then quickly came out for protecting the coral reefs off the shores of North Carolina. She claims we can have it both ways.

    Republicans think her seat is in jeopardy. I really believe Dole can be defeated - she hardly ever even comes to the state. I hope Hillary comes here to campaign and raise money for Dole's opponent Kay Hagan. There are a lot of women who worked on Hillary's campaign that could be energized by Hillary to campaign for Hagan. In addition, the Dem candidate for governor is a female, Bev Perdue.

    Parent

    Sorry, the Clinton pantsuit had coattails (none / 0) (#172)
    by Cream City on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 08:18:42 AM EST
    but only if she was picked as the nominee.

    This is a new one -- now Clinton is supposed to provide the coattails to get our candidates in Congress plus get Obama into the White House?  Nope, you'll have to hope that the empty suit has coattails.

    Parent

    Problem is that Obama says he's not (5.00 / 2) (#28)
    by Cream City on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:02:06 PM EST
    flipflopping when he is.  He's "refining" but not, he says, saying anything different.  Ha.  He's counting on adoring fans not having listened closely.

    It's different now, and the media have him on tape.  "Refining" won't fly.  They're calling it (correctly) flipflopping.  If he had called it changing his mind, or being flexible, it might work.  But denying a flipflop when it is one won't work -- not when it's happening almost daily.

    Watch for the Leno jokes on this.  That's the tipping point in popular culture.  That's fatal.

    Parent

    Obama was very clear on this in March (5.00 / 2) (#126)
    by daryl herbert on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:54:28 AM EST
    March 7, 2008, Obama adviser Samantha Power called Sen. Clinton a "monster."

    Around the same time, Ms. Power also said that Obama would not necessarily stick to the 16-months-and-everyone's-out plan, but would reformulate his plan upon taking office, once he had a chance to sit down with the generals, get access to presidential intelligence, etc.

    Hillary Clinton was merciless.  She said that Ms. Power's remarks showed that Obama wasn't really serious about quitting Iraq in 16 months.

    Sen. Obama turned around and immediately fired Ms. Power, and re-iterated his commitment to 16-months-and-everyone's-out.

    * * *

    Now TChris is writing what Ms. Power said back in March: that OF COURSE Obama is going to formulate his plans for withdrawal based on the situation on the ground, and based on consultations with the generals, so maybe we aren't completely out by 16 months.  Maybe we stay a lot longer.

    Of course TChris is correct: that is the better approach to Iraq, and that is what Obama really intends to do (there's no way he can "force" himself not to change his mind if he feels like changing his mind later).

    But Obama won't admit it.  Obama has steadfastly refused to admit this.  Today he "refined" his remarks to re-iterate that he absolutely disagrees with what TChris wrote.

    Obama's own supporters don't know where he stands on this issue, and are divided as to which is best.  It's a mess.

    Parent

    watch for McCain (5.00 / 0) (#188)
    by ccpup on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 09:38:05 AM EST
    to begin calling his flip-flops "refining" with a sly grin and a wink.  I'm sure the Press will giggle with knowing laughter and write him up as a great guy with a good sense of humor.

    One can get away with stuff like this when one has a history and is known.  Obama doesn't have a history and is an ever-changing blank slate.  It's true that those who want to see the best will then be able to see it, but it's even more devastatingly true that his opponents will then be able to more effectively paint him with not-so-good stuff and, being unknown, voters will be more willing to buy it!

    Being all things to all people doesn't always work.  Not in life and certainly not in politics.  A more experienced, mature politician understands this.  Obama doesn't.  

    Parent

    I ask (none / 0) (#127)
    by mbuchel on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:55:01 AM EST
    as I asked MarkL above.  What was the flip flop?  How is what he said different than his usual refrain that we should be "as careful getting out as we were careless getting in?"

    Parent
    Heh (5.00 / 1) (#128)
    by Steve M on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:57:55 AM EST
    "we should be responsible" is not a position, it is a truism.  No one is in favor of doing the irresponsible thing.

    This is the second commentor I've seen this argument from tonight - the argument that because Obama said "we should be responsible" then, and he says "we should be responsible now," he hasn't changed his position one iota.  Where the heck do you guys come up with this stuff?

    Parent

    Tell me how his position on this has changed (2.00 / 0) (#130)
    by mbuchel on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:02:39 AM EST
    You can't.  It hasn't.  He has always left the caveat, in one form or another, that the situation on the ground may dictate changes from a proposal he's made as a candidate.
    I know you hate Obama, and I will gladly agree that he has moved his position on FISA, but on this one to say there was some change is being intellectually dishonest.

    Parent
    Okay (5.00 / 1) (#135)
    by Steve M on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:30:12 AM EST
    I find it utterly useless to try and have an intelligent conversation with the type of person who randomly throws "I know you hate Obama" into the discussion, so I won't bother.  Best of luck electing your candidate.

    Parent
    Sorry, I fully admit, that was gratuitous (none / 0) (#138)
    by mbuchel on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:38:20 AM EST
    and unnecessary.  I apologize for tone and implication.
    Now that I've (hopefully) communicated my regret, can you point out how his position has changed?

    Parent
    All three of them (1.00 / 0) (#163)
    by Jgarza on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 07:47:24 AM EST
    Edwards Clinton and Obama said they would not guarantee all troops out of Iraq but 2013, so i don't see how you can turn around now and say they promised 16 months, and refused to move from it.  It never happened.

    Parent
    Obama needs to convince lefties that (none / 0) (#131)
    by MyLeftMind on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:07:43 AM EST
    he'll get us out of Iraq.  He has done so.  He also needs to give a timeline, but not an inflexible one because that would demoralize the troops, undermine the mission, and give the enemy info on how long to wait..  Whatever he says to those of us who want an end to the war will be used against him in ads by the Republicans.  

    So far they don't have great  soundbites to use against Obama regarding Iraq or terrorists.  They can't put him down with a video of him saying "we should be responsible."

    What would you have him say?


    Parent

    For an alleged liberal (5.00 / 2) (#136)
    by Steve M on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:33:04 AM EST
    you sure have a lot of right-wing talking points at your disposal.  Setting a firm deadline "would give the enemy info on how long to wait"?  I can't even believe you wrote that.

    You've made clear that your sole interest lies in seeing Obama make as many Republican arguments as possible between now and November, in hopes of fooling as many Republican voters as possible.  The rest of us should just take it on faith that he's lying the whole time.  Fine, but you're becoming a bit of a Johnny One-Note with this wild theory.

    Parent

    Republicans have been fooling the electorate (2.00 / 0) (#140)
    by MyLeftMind on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:39:09 AM EST
    for a long time, and if Obama can get them to trust him instead, I'm all for it.

    But what sounded right wing to you?  The word enemy?  Or the argument against a timeline?  Because I'm definitely a card carrying liberal.  

    Parent

    what do you think "responsible" means? (none / 0) (#170)
    by tben on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 08:10:56 AM EST
    What do you think it has ever meant? What do you think it meant when Hillary said it?

    In these contexts, it has always meant that there is a goal - in this case withdrawing American combat troops from Iraq - and that the exact timing and modality will be calibrated to the exact conditions on the ground starting in Jan 2009.

    As opposed to making a firm committment now to simply taking the oath in Jan., then turning to the brass and saying - start loading 'em on the planes immediatly. That would be irresponsible, even though a politically popular thing to promise in a Dem primary.

    Parent

    You're right about flip flops not being inherently (5.00 / 1) (#35)
    by rjarnold on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:11:43 PM EST
    dishonest, since there are reasons for politicians to change positions if they learn more about a particular topic, and politicians generally don't promise to hold on to a specific position forever.

    However Obama's flip on the FISA bill does show dishonesty not because it is a flip-flop, but because he vowed to filibuster a bill like it.

    Parent

    I honestly think (5.00 / 1) (#55)
    by gyrfalcon on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:38:43 PM EST
    there really isn't any change in Obama's position on Iraq here, now that he's come out and explained WORM. (The hypocrisy of the attacks on Hillary for taking essentially the same position during the primaries are another matter.)

    But there's a big difference between changing your mind and just flip-flopping, which is what Obama's been doing on so many other issues.

    If you change your mind and you explain why you changed your mind, people (including me) generally accept that.  However, if you do what he's been doing, which is pretend he hasn't changed a thing and some staffer just said or wrote something "inartful" that gave the wrong impression of WORM, that's a problem.

    If there are a lot of those, the public isn't willing to trust the pol.  Nor should they.

    McCain's done some about-faces himself, for sure, but with most of them, he's explained that he's changed his mind and why, not tried to weasel his way around it with huge quantities of "nuanced" verbiage.


    Parent

    Very well put... (none / 0) (#115)
    by IzikLA on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:16:47 AM EST
    I have a problem with this repeated assertion that if he just Says that was always his position then it must be so, even when the facts don't pan out.  It's starting to happen over and over again and that is disturbing to me.  

    I think he'd be much better off if he just explained himself better.  People might actually respect that.

    Parent

    Well, (none / 0) (#166)
    by massdem on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 07:57:55 AM EST
    thats whats been happening for the past 8 years, right - say it enough and it becomes true in the mind of the electorate.  How did W word it? - catapult the propaganda?

    Parent
    Yah I just love the advantage I, a voter, (5.00 / 1) (#151)
    by MO Blue on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 05:13:49 AM EST
    am getting with Obama's 180 on FISA. Another Constitutional right being eroded. It would IMO be a real stretch to think that this decision is a reasonable approximation of his supporter's (i.e. voter's) opinion.

    Parent
    er...no. (4.00 / 4) (#116)
    by ribbon on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:17:55 AM EST
    I think you've pulled a bait and switch here.

    The key distinction between simply "changing one's mind" and "flip=flopping" lies in the underlying motive.

    Changing your mind to bring your present stance in-line with your superceding core principles after circumstances have changed is quite a bit different than flip-flopping.

    McCain's stance on drilling is a good example of this. Framed by liberals as a flip-flop but viewed by everyone else as a fundamnetal economical response to demand for oil that is outstripping supply.

    On the other hand, changing your mind constanantly when your motivation to do so has more to do with the fact that you have no core principles other than to win an election makes you a flip-flopper.

    Iraq, NAFTA, Welfare, FISA, Rev Wright, it goes on...

    Parent

    McCain is principled? (none / 0) (#129)
    by mbuchel on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:59:02 AM EST
    The tax cuts offend my conscience... I want more tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans!
    I support a cap and trade system... but not mandatory caps, that might mean companies will actually have to limit their emissions!
    I believe that global warming as a result of burning fossil fuels is a real problem... but I want to create a gas tax holiday and drill for more oil off of our coasts which will increase our emissions due to increased consumption!
    I could go on.
    Yes, very principled that McCain.

    Parent
    please... (none / 0) (#185)
    by ribbon on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 09:23:09 AM EST
    Economic growth stems from saving and investment. The wealthiest among us have always carried the lion's share of this important function. Investment fuels long-term growth. Tax cuts to the lowest income brackets disproportionately increase consumption expenditure, which just doesn't do a thing for long-term growth.

    The system that we have has more than doubled average real income since 1950. As much as people love to complain, things have gotten better, continue to get better, and will get better.

    I assume that corporate tax cuts also "offend" your conscious.

    The U.S. corporate tax rate rate is second highest among developed countries and is long overdue for a drop.

    Only Japan is higher, and Germany was higher until 2000.

    What offests this for firms is the capital U.S. offers that amps per capita production. However, this advantage is beginning to erode.

    As for McCain's cap and trade system, frankly I don't think you know what your talking about. Under his plan, mandatory caps on greenhouse gas emissions must be met one way or the other (reducing the emissions, or paying penalties to avoid doing so). Either way, this simply shifts monetary incentives to favour a reduction in emissions by internalizing costs. His plan seems to me to be focused on accomplishing some practical reduction targets without sucker-punching the energy sector. Seems reasonable to recognize that cleaner energy is the long-term goal which will take time to transition to.

    In the meantime...

    As stated above, drilling to increase supply makes short-term economic sense. It's so simple I could strangle people who seem to refuse to understand some basic economic principles: The increase price of oil increases the incentives to increase output - period.

    This means increasing output from current reserves, more exploration, more investment in alternative energies and more efficient means of transportation, and increasing output from unorthodox sources (e.g., sands, shale).

    Parent

    No Big deal?? (3.66 / 3) (#32)
    by befuddledvoter on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:09:23 PM EST
    Obama has no integrity. He changes from day to day, depending on the audience and the weather.  It is not about flexibility.  Who the heck is he and does he even know?  I am not suggesting that he makes mistakes; I am suggesting that he is politically unstable.  The more I see, the more I don't like.

    The basis for his new "nuance" on Iraq:


     

    Parent

    You could vote for Nader (5.00 / 1) (#36)
    by anydemwilldo on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:12:18 PM EST
    He seems pretty consistent.  But if you want consistency from a real candidate (and yes, that included Hillary too), you're going to be looking for a very long time.

    Parent
    here's the difference (5.00 / 0) (#62)
    by Salo on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:45:00 PM EST
    She did run in the primary as if she was running as a centrist general election candidate.  

    right?

    Obama was billed as the leftie with magical cross over appeal.

    That's a huge gulf ideologically from primary to general.  Not that I care one way or another at this point. I tended to think he was fooling chi-chi lefties.

    Parent

    There are degrees (none / 0) (#57)
    by gyrfalcon on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:40:14 PM EST
    You're missing something. (none / 0) (#78)
    by Salo on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:54:38 PM EST
    I like complex arguments when i'm dealing with topics and issues.  However in politics you need to be able to comunicate at grade 5 level.  Newspapers write at grade 8 level.

    I don't expect a politician to openly talk about signs and signifiers, semiotics or semantics in their own policy platform.

    I'd prefer if those things were used seamlessly so that writers and the public couldn;t notice and call Obama out on is sophistry.

    obama will probably win teh election anyway.  8 years of thr GOP in the WH is enough for any mad fool of an American.

    Parent

    Tell that to George H.W. Bush (none / 0) (#117)
    by IzikLA on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:18:29 AM EST
    Let's not assume we have this in the bag.  That would be our biggest mistake.  And, unfortunately, Obama is not helping us out here.

    Parent
    Oh please... (3.66 / 3) (#9)
    by masslib on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:36:53 PM EST
    "Because an inflexible unwillingness to respond to changing conditions, even at risk of further endangering lives, is principled"  You must be kidding?  Obama used his 16 months charade to win the primary.  There is nothing principled going on here.

    What's the principle? (5.00 / 1) (#11)
    by anydemwilldo on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:42:15 PM EST
    Stubbornness isn't the same as principle.  What's the principle he's violating?  This just sounds practical to me: it's a quantitative question about how long it will take to move troops from one place to another.

    FISA, sure:  civil liberties are a principled issue that you can scream at him about, and I won't stop you (because I basically agree).  But withdrawal timetables?  That's a policy question.  As far as I care, he's free to change his mind as much as he wants as long as the ultimate goal stays the same.

    Parent

    There is no principle involved. (5.00 / 6) (#15)
    by masslib on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:46:04 PM EST
    He made a promise he intended to break, and he's now broken it.  This isn't about new information.  This was simply the intended outcome.  There was no uncertainty that he wouldn't change his position after the primary, and now he has.  There is no principled basis for the initial promise or the change.  

    Parent
    I agree with masslib (5.00 / 6) (#41)
    by Steve M on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:17:31 PM EST
    Politicians will always change their position for political advantage and maybe there's not even a point in complaining about it.  But please don't insult our intelligence by telling us that when Obama suddenly lurches to the right on a whole bunch of issues immediately upon beginning the general election campaign, it's all a principled reaction to facts on the ground and it shows his admirable willingness to change his mind.

    When you just happen to take the position in the Democratic primary that Democrats want to hear, and you just happen to take the position in the general election that general election voters want to hear, there is no way you can spin that change of position that will make me compliment your character.  The only thing I might compliment is your ability to get away with it - if you do.

    Parent

    It means he has utter contempt (5.00 / 3) (#97)
    by Salo on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:23:59 AM EST
    for the people who consider themselves left or antiwar.  i KNOW A POL MUST PLAY SOME GAMES but this shift looks like a sneering contempt to me.

    Parent
    Yes, that's what he displayed to (5.00 / 1) (#99)
    by MarkL on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:30:24 AM EST
    Clinton and her supporters as well.

    Parent
    I don't see any sneering contempt (2.00 / 0) (#120)
    by MyLeftMind on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:30:36 AM EST
    I see a politician trying to make sure he doesn't give the enemy easy material to slam him with.

    Where do you see contempt?

    Parent

    He gave them (5.00 / 0) (#121)
    by Salo on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:32:52 AM EST
    all they need to beat him in the primary.  The shifts now will destroy him.

    Parent
    it was contempt when he chose not (5.00 / 1) (#154)
    by kimsaw on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 05:54:10 AM EST
    to vote on the MoveOn resolution, he placed calculation above doing the right thing. 16 months turns into maybe by offering he needs to be flexible. Clinton's a monster and he's a super hero when he's really a political Gumby.  I suggest antipathy toward those in opposition buried in contempt and arrogance offers a clearer definition of who this candidate really is.

    Parent
    Lurches to the Right (5.00 / 1) (#142)
    by MKS on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:53:08 AM EST
    The only real lurch to the "Right" is the FISA issue.  Everything else is same ol', same ol'.

    Death Penalty.  Consistent with his earlier stated views....

    Faith based programs--I cannot see how this could be a surprise to anyone, or how it is a change....He wrote a diary at Big Orange long ago talking about how Democrats should talk differently about religion and was loudly booed....

    Guns.  His ambivalent statement reflects his ambivalence over the last few years.

    Iraq.  The caveat about the generals has always been there.  And if he takes 24 months to withdraw instead of 16, it would still be a very good thing.....As it stands, it appears we are coming out one way or the other....It could be we will leave by "declaring victory and going home."  We simply cannot afford to stay.  The big news today was the head of the Joint Chiefs saying we need more troops in Afghanistan but don't have them because they are in Iraq.....We're leaving Iraq....  

    Public financing.  He has changed here.  But I hear precious little complaining from the Left on this point.

    Parent

    Heh (5.00 / 3) (#148)
    by Steve M on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 03:32:50 AM EST
    I absolutely love it.  Because Obama has been all over the map on guns, it's entirely consistent for him to be all over the map today!

    Mind you, you can't actually lurch to the right much more obviously than walking back a perfectly clear statement that "the DC gun ban is constitutional," which apparently no one realized was inartful until this week.  But setting that aside, your argument belongs in a trophy case somewhere.  "His ambivalence reflects his ambivalence over the last few years!"

    Parent

    You're probably right (5.00 / 2) (#118)
    by IzikLA on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:22:30 AM EST
    The problem I had with him was actually in the lead up to this.  He sold his whole candidacy on his opposition to the war and on getting us out.  Yes, obviously, reality has finally butted heads with fantasy, but my initial issue is actually with his original posturing, not with this current situation.  However, his die-hard supporters should be disappointed, if this is one of the reasons they hated Hillary so much.

    Parent
    Only Idiots (3.00 / 1) (#13)
    by squeaky on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:42:47 PM EST
    Drunk on kool aid believed Obama was going to end the war. Anyone who cared to read his plan, or listen carefully would know that it would be a miracle to be out in 16 months, the same goes for anyone that believed Hillary would do the same.

    Parent
    Are you calling vast legions of Obama (5.00 / 0) (#14)
    by MarkL on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:45:54 PM EST
    supporters idiots?
    Just checking.

    Parent
    No (none / 0) (#16)
    by squeaky on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:49:11 PM EST
    But masslib is making the claim that vast legions of Obama supporters are idiots because s/he is implying that 18 million voted for Obama only because they believed he was going to end the war in 16 months.

    Parent
    What was the other reason? (5.00 / 5) (#17)
    by Edgar08 on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:53:17 PM EST
    That he would filibuster FISA and stop pandering to evangelicals like that dishonest doublespeaking centrist triangulator, Sen. Clinton?

    Parent
    yeah (5.00 / 0) (#20)
    by TimNCGuy on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:55:58 PM EST
    that was it.   lol

    Parent
    Actually, I'm pretty sure that alot of people (5.00 / 1) (#21)
    by tigercourse on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:57:03 PM EST
    did support Obama because they thought he'd have the troops home by Christmas. They should have gone to his website.

    Parent
    And Many Hillary Voters (none / 0) (#40)
    by squeaky on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:15:48 PM EST
    Bought her schtick about ending the war too. Many want to end the war soooo badly that they skip the fine print, a big mistake when listening to pols, imo.

    Parent
    So remind me again what was so great (5.00 / 3) (#42)
    by MarkL on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:20:32 PM EST
    about Obama in the primaries. I thought it was his steadfast and early opposition to the Iraq War. That is certainly what I was told, over and over again.

    Parent
    Maybe (2.00 / 0) (#52)
    by squeaky on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:33:51 PM EST
    That he was the same as Hillary, basic centrist democrat, but a different flavor.

    Parent
    Let me run that one by (5.00 / 1) (#53)
    by MarkL on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:37:55 PM EST
    the friendly folks at Daily Kos.

    Parent
    yeah, of course (1.00 / 1) (#178)
    by tben on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 08:51:40 AM EST
    he had the judgement that would have kept us out of there in the first place.

    Either Hillary lacked that judgement, or lacked the courage to apply it.

    That remains a very big difference between the two, one decidedly in his favor.

    How to extract ourselves in the least damaging way is an entirely different issue, and one they both left themselves wiggle room to "refine'.

    Actually Hillary left herself far more wiggle room, since all she basically did was to promise to start a withdrawl within six months. No promise of how fast it would go, or whether it would continue relentlessly till all were out etc etc.

    Parent

    How do you know he would have (5.00 / 1) (#181)
    by zfran on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 09:07:22 AM EST
    had the judgement to keep us out of Iraq in the first place? It is easy to sideline guess things, he doesn't exactly have a stellar voting record in IL and the US Senate (he votes "present" alot, or he presses the "wrong button). Please, he was going to vote for Roberts until he was pulled aside and talked to....you have no idea how he would have voted. And, if he felt so strongly about the war and it's voters of it, why didn't he speak up once while he was in the senate. You can support our troops and fight against continuing the war. He didn't do a thing but vote the same as most other dems.

    Parent
    He took a very public postion on (1.00 / 1) (#202)
    by tben on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 11:29:09 AM EST
    the war. No guessing required.

    The Roberts vote thing is exceedingly silly. Hold the guy accountable for the votes he takes, but give him credit for the things you agree with.  You dont have a clue as to what the factors were that led him to vote as he did.

    Parent

    er not quite, really. (5.00 / 3) (#54)
    by Salo on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:38:24 PM EST
    she was pretty damned ambivalent about it. You know, Pragmatic and all that good stuff.  I thought she was being cagey and crafty in many of her responses and respected her for that honesty about being ambivalent.

    Parent
    Apparently (none / 0) (#33)
    by cawaltz on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:10:21 PM EST
    They believed it because they sure were "selling" the idea during the primary season.

    Replace "what would you do for a klondike bar?" with "what would you do for the Presidency?" and you pretty much have Barack Obama IMO.

    Parent

    well that was the impression (none / 0) (#51)
    by Salo on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:32:45 PM EST
    Obama's supporters tended to leave in the mind of many observers.

    Especially the bit where he bashed the IWR vote over everyone elses head.

    Bush was going to invade Iraq no matter how many Dems decided to resist the IWR.

    Parent

    ya got that right (5.00 / 1) (#23)
    by wasabi on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:59:45 PM EST
    Neither Obama or Clinton would have ended the war any time soon.  Leaving a residual of 80K+ soldiers/marines in place in Iraq is not "ending" a war.  You put lipstick on a pig, it's still a pig.

    Parent
    the 80K+ number (5.00 / 1) (#43)
    by TimNCGuy on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:24:21 PM EST
    came from an interview from an Obama adviser who claimed it was only HIS opinion when those who didn't support Obama tried to stick Obama with it.  There was NEVER an 80K+ number associated with Clinton.

    Parent
    You know (5.00 / 4) (#44)
    by Steve M on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:25:49 PM EST
    I've been trying to think of where I've heard this argument before.  I realized it reminded me of all those Republicans who run around claiming that tax cuts increase revenues, and all my Republican friends assure me "oh come on, no one really believes tax cuts increase revenues."

    There are a heck of a lot of people who will take you at your word when you say you have a concrete plan to bring the troops home, and when you criticize other candidates for not having as concrete a plan.  The fact that you and I can sit here and be cynical and say "come on, everyone knows we're stuck in Iraq for years" doesn't justify it.  Obviously he thought he could fool a lot of people or he wouldn't have bothered.

    Parent

    Thought he could fool a lot of people (5.00 / 1) (#49)
    by RalphB on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:30:09 PM EST
    and, apparently, did just that.

    Parent
    And the ones who voted to break it in the first (none / 0) (#83)
    by Rojas on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:59:00 PM EST
    place and refuse to take responsibility...
    WHo are they fooling?

    Parent
    Bravo. (none / 0) (#73)
    by gyrfalcon on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:50:39 PM EST
    Exactly so.


    Parent
    How has Obama changed on Iraq? (none / 0) (#139)
    by MKS on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:38:50 AM EST
    He may be "my" candidate, but I have yet to read anything to suggest he has changed his position....

    Is it the word "refine?"  Is that it?  He has always said he would also consider what the generals had to say....

    Parent

    Idiots? Perhaps... (5.00 / 2) (#114)
    by kredwyn on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:15:34 AM EST
    But I've been told by any number of those idiots that Obama was the guy who was going to end the war in Iraq.

    I was told that he even had a plan.That he was "the" candidate on this...and that the others weren't going to do much of anything.

    That is, they told me so...right up til he changed his position...

    Parent

    I Guess You Are A Bushlover Then (1.00 / 1) (#208)
    by squeaky on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:35:55 PM EST
    The greatest thing about this man is he's steady. You know where he stands. He believes the same thing Wednesday that he believed on Monday - no matter what happened Tuesday.


    Parent
    Just flat-out wrong (5.00 / 1) (#132)
    by daryl herbert on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:17:16 AM EST
    Anyone who cared to read his plan, or listen carefully would know that it would be a miracle to be out in 16 months

    No.  Dr. Samantha Power said that 16 months was a best-case scenario.  Obama fired her the same week, and proclaimed that we were going to be out in 16 months no matter what.

    Anyone who listened to Obama, or read his plan (you can still read it on his web site), would come away with the idea that we were out in 16 months, no matter what.

    Parent

    You Missed The Fine Print (none / 0) (#214)
    by squeaky on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:57:59 PM EST
    JUN 2006: Obama Called For an "Expeditious Yet Responsible
    All Combat Troops Redeployed by 2009: Barack Obama would immediately begin redeploying American
    troops from Iraq.  The withdrawal would be strategic and phased, directed by military commanders on the
    ground and done in consultation with the Iraqi government.  Troops would be removed from secure areas first,
    with troops remaining longer in more volatile areas. The drawdown would begin immediately with one to two
    combat brigades redeploying each month and all troops engaged in combat operations out by the end of next
    year.  

    Exit from Iraq." In 2006, Obama said,
    "What is needed is a blueprint for an expeditious yet responsible exit from Iraq." [Obama Floor Statement On Kerry
    Amendment, 6/21/06]

    SEP 2006: Obama Said US Must Leave Iraq Responsibly.  In West Virginia, Obama said, "We must exit
    Iraq, but not in a way that leaves behind a security vacuum filled with terrorism, chaos, ethnic cleansing and
    genocide that could engulf large swaths of the Middle East and endanger America...We have both moral and
    national security reasons to manage our exit in a responsible way." [Charleston Gazette, 9/26/06]

    Parent

    Well IMO large segments of voters (5.00 / 1) (#152)
    by MO Blue on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 05:24:14 AM EST
    did and do believe that Obama plans to end the war and within a 16 month timeframe.

    I agree that careful listening or reading his plan would not lead to that conclusion but most people were just hearing over and over again that he was going to quickly end the war.

    None of the Democratic candidates were going to end the occupation of Iraq on that I agree. There will be American troops in Iraq for years to come. Draw down of some troops? Yes. End the occupation. Doubt it.

    Parent

    Let's wait... (3.66 / 3) (#46)
    by pmj6 on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:28:12 PM EST
    ...for Obama to make that visit to Iraq, then we'll see. My prediction: he'll praise the troops, speak about the success of the Surge (which is McCain's brainchild and something Obama opposed), and weaken his commitment to withdrawing from Iraq. If he says anything else he'll open himself to criticism that he "hates the troops" which means he will not say anything else.

    I'm honestly dreading (5.00 / 0) (#191)
    by ccpup on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 09:52:13 AM EST
    the photos of Obama in a flak jacket and helmet.  No one can carry that look off -- certainly not McCain -- and, with Obama, I fear the effect may be more laughable than impressive.  Not what he needs when he's trying to convince Voters he's a strong, alpha-male Leader.

    Parent
    Or that he's not "serious" (2.00 / 1) (#75)
    by gyrfalcon on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:53:09 PM EST
    Yes... (none / 0) (#204)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:25:36 PM EST
    ...the need to appear "serious" = troops stay a bit longer. This means the worst of both worlds, a slow withdrawal during which Something Really Bad happens and discredits the whole policy.

    Parent
    Clearly (3.00 / 0) (#22)
    by squeaky on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:58:17 PM EST
    You become what you hate.

    The message to which this comment responded (none / 0) (#24)
    by TChris on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:00:12 PM EST
    has been deleted.

    Parent
    Thanks, TChris (5.00 / 1) (#89)
    by Jeralyn on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:06:42 AM EST
    I didn't see it but I deleted a few from this thread also -- name calling, character attacks, etc are not allowed. The topic is Obama's statements about the war.

    Personally, I don't think it's big deal. I never believed he would do anything different in Iraq than any other candidate. But, he did consistently claim to be the candidate that would end the war and touted his 2002 speech against it, so it's relevant for discussion. And had I supported him based upon a belief he would be the one to end the war, I might have a different impression of his remarks today.

    Parent

    "I never believed ..." (none / 0) (#201)
    by Andreas on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 11:21:56 AM EST
    Jeralyn wrote:

    I never believed he would do anything different in Iraq than any other candidate.

    That certainly is true for the candidates representing the Democratic Party.

    But please do not make such false statements about other political parties and their candidates. There is no potential candidate for the Socialist Equality Party who would keep troops in Iraq.

    Parent

    Clinton was branded a double talker (3.00 / 2) (#29)
    by Edgar08 on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:02:30 PM EST
    For less.

    I'm with McCain on this one.  I won't vote for him, but if what Clinton said made her a doubletalker then Sen. Obama is just as bad or worse.

    This is not a good topic for Clinton supporters, I suppose.

    When the primary only proved that this kind of thing can take down a politician, the McCain campaign would do well -- strategically speaking - to make a DEVASTATING ad on Obama splicing cherry picked quotes of his together.

    I would like to see the hypocritical pretzels made out slinkys some people would have to twist themselves into.


    Clinton created her own brand (1.00 / 0) (#69)
    by Rojas on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:49:04 PM EST
    She ran as an incumbent of the administration who's very essence was double talk.

    Parent
    well flip flopping obama (5.00 / 0) (#81)
    by Edgar08 on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:56:28 PM EST
    is the heir apparent then.

    Parent
    nah (5.00 / 0) (#84)
    by Salo on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:59:40 PM EST
    she was anticipating the conditions of the general election.

    Sadly Obama's reliance on the bizarro simulacra of the "left" in the US has created all sorts of gotcha moments for the GOP to exploit.

    The reason she was so crafy and cagey was because she understood that every word she was saying was being recorded and on tape. Obma has contradicted himself so much and created so many potential gotchas---that I suspect teh media might have backed him because they knew that they HAD his Arse.

    Parent

    And how'd that work out? (3.00 / 2) (#61)
    by gyrfalcon on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:44:57 PM EST
    You make a good point, sort of, but Obama is not Bush.  That's actually his strong suit, not being Bush, as we keep being told.  But it's certainly not clear to me that running a Bush-like vague campaign is going work after the public has lived with 8 years of the consequences of taking a flyer on somebody who couldn't be pinned down.

    Maybe it will work again.  If so, I will simply withdraw from the world and tend to my garden and my woodstove.

    "Tend your garden." (none / 0) (#85)
    by Salo on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:02:14 AM EST
    That's Voltaire of course.  Man of the Enlightenment.  Could you offer any better advice to anyone ever?

    Parent
    Heh. No, I don't. (5.00 / 3) (#93)
    by gyrfalcon on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:14:56 AM EST
    You're right, of course, but I was honestly thinking in more down-to-earth (!) terms about my potatoes and winter squash and beets and plum tomatoes and the vast quantities of peas I froze today against the deprivation of winter.

    The irony of living in the country is you eat like a king for two or three months in summer and are stuck with Birdseye for the rest of the year, at best, unless you grow and put up your own.

    We suffer badly from high gasoline prices out here, but at least I have the option of heating my home with wood and growing a good deal of my own food.

    I'm nearly 60 and suffered through the agonies of the late '60s and early '70s and everything that's come after, and hoped -- thought, really -- that this year, finally, we'd come back to sanity politically.  I have no more heart left for it, Salo.  I'm going to retreat from it, turn off the TV, read my relentlessly local county newspaper and look out for my personal garden.

    (Do you know the Bernstein "Candide" music?  I've sung the anthem from that, "Let Your Garden Grow." It's one of the most spiritually uplifting things I know.)

    Parent

    never heard it. (5.00 / 1) (#96)
    by Salo on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:21:52 AM EST
    will Pandora it. thx for the tip. may all your fingers be Green.

    Parent
    Well, this is the best of all (none / 0) (#86)
    by MarkL on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:03:35 AM EST
    possible worlds, of course.

    Parent
    Obama/Pangloss '08 (none / 0) (#90)
    by Salo on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:06:59 AM EST
    That was not the Baron Thunder-Ten-Tronck I knew!

    Parent
    Obama skewered by the (3.00 / 2) (#150)
    by Grace on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 05:11:47 AM EST
    Philadelphia Enquirer:

    Is his campaign dishonest or disorganized?

    Lists many "mind changes" not talked about much here and ends with this:

    Obama's very bad June suggests two possibilities: He may be one of the more unprincipled politicians we've seen recently - remember, Obama once mocked the Clintons for their prevarications, saying "They don't tell you what they mean." Or perhaps his mistakes are honest - which would make the Obama campaign one of the more intellectually disorganized enterprises in recent presidential history.

    It's unclear which prospect is greater cause for concern.



    Vote for dishonest (5.00 / 1) (#190)
    by RalphB on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 09:50:47 AM EST
    as here...

    In a TV ad he debuted last month, Obama boasted of having "extended health care for wounded troops who had been neglected." The law to which he was referring is the 2008 National Defense Authorization Act, which passed the Senate 91 to 3. Obama was one of six senators not present to vote for it.

    That's a pretty blatant lie to put in a TV ad.

    Parent

    that's shocking (5.00 / 1) (#192)
    by ccpup on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 09:57:32 AM EST
    so shocking that my mouth literally dropped open.  I find it (less and less) hard to believe that Obama would so blatantly lie and leave himself open for the GOP on something so easy to disprove.

    And then throw in the Healthcare for Soldiers aspect and ... ugh, it's a mess.  Unless you're a Republican in which case you're chilling the Inaugural Cold Duck champagne and heading off to Target to find a fancy tux.

    :-)

    Parent

    Not exactly (none / 0) (#198)
    by TChris on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 11:14:30 AM EST
    Puffing his role, absolutely, but not a "blatant lie."  Here's a more balanced view.

    Parent
    Their organization... (none / 0) (#205)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:27:32 PM EST
    ...is so good that one is tempted to suspect supernatural help. It must be the other answer, then.

    Parent
    Looks like more and more people are (none / 0) (#1)
    by PssttCmere08 on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:17:48 PM EST
    homing in on obama's flippity flops...

    Particularly Those Busy Shilling (3.66 / 3) (#2)
    by squeaky on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:18:55 PM EST
    For McCain.

    Parent
    i don't know about shilling (5.00 / 4) (#4)
    by boredmpa on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:30:47 PM EST
    but i'll pony up two pence for an actual democratic process that doesn't treat a large number of voters like idiots, exploit another large number of voters, and disenfranchise entire states.

    you repeat your shilling for mccain crap, and i have to repeat my "it's the democracy, stupid" reply.

    lucky for you, the cost of responding to every attack/reframing of yours just isn't worth it.

    Parent

    How many times do we have to read (2.00 / 1) (#109)
    by MyLeftMind on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:56:47 AM EST
    Hillary & McCain supporters say Obama is an empty suit?  It's said over and over and over on this site.  

    He's our candidate.  Do TL people want him to win?  If so, why post the empty suit slur and calls for PUMA over and over?  Does it help us win?

    Really, this is a serious question.

    Parent

    The serious answer is that you should (5.00 / 2) (#110)
    by MarkL on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:00:56 AM EST
    be worried by the number of people who are Democrats and who think Obama is an empty suit.
    Democrats are not Republicans---they don't just fall in line. Obama needs to create the enthusiasm and support---he can't simply demand it.

    Parent
    How Many? (2.00 / 0) (#218)
    by daring grace on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:01:04 PM EST
    I see it repeated here a site with a lot of Clinton supporters who say they won't vote for Obama in November. I don't read comments at any of a number of other news/opinion sites I visit, because  early on I found them too vituperative and meaningless (from all sides--Obama, Clinton and McCain).

    But there are plenty of Dems supporting Obama on other sites AND in the larger non-internet world.

    I meet them and independents and even (a couple) of people who usually vote Repub who don't see him as an empty suit, aren't obsessing about the policy nuances of the last week, and say they're voting for him in November.

    This includes some staunchly loyal Clinton people who still tell me she should be the nominee but who also will vote Dem for president in the GE. They're voting (like Jerilyn, I guess) to elect the Dem, not Obama per se.

    So was there a new poll among Dems that I missed where they asked how many see him as an empty suit, because aside from my own observations, all the polls I've been seeing show a steady increase in his support among Dems.

    Parent

    I don't say it. (5.00 / 1) (#111)
    by Salo on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:06:29 AM EST
    Here's a serious question.

    Supose we have a war in iraq --with either Obama or McCain. There are two options.

    With McCain you have a president that will fight the war and will believe in the war aim.

    With Obama you will have a President that will fight a war bit not think it a good war or worth fighting.

    What option would you prefer?

    Cause this is how Obama wll be questioned in debates.  he's going to be crucified with these questions.

    Parent

    Oh oh. Once again, Salo (5.00 / 0) (#119)
    by Cream City on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:25:38 AM EST
    you have called it here.  Incisive of you.  And devastating once it's done to Obama.  Ouch.

    Parent
    The war in Iraq is not simply a war for oil (2.00 / 0) (#124)
    by MyLeftMind on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:47:07 AM EST
    as is commonly claimed.  It is an occupation to prop up oil prices. In years past, when OPEC reduced oil production to artificially increase prices, Saddam Hussein increased Iraq's production and undermined their efforts. Oil was only $10 a barrel in 1999, now it's almost fourteen times that. Our military bombed Iraq's oil facilities, then rebuilt them. The occupation stabilizes  Iraq oil production at low levels, which allows OPEC to manipulate oil prices. Worse, the Iraqi government has no incentive to increase oil production. They would be expected to fund their own rebuilding if they were raking in huge profits. We're duped into paying for an extended occupation that makes the Bush family and their Saudi friends ten times richer than they would be without the occupation. It'll stay so until we demand a reasonable end to Iraq's perpetual dependence on our military and financial support.  

    Chevron is showing record profits while Bush establishes new tax breaks. McCain will make those tax breaks permanent. Meanwhile, we'll pay forever for the failed "stay the course" policy. McCain can't clean this up, he'll stay in Iraq. He's the one we can put our faith in to win the war, but there is no way to win.  Military solutions are McCain's forte, but our military will never create peace in Iraq, nor can we wish away generations of cultural/tribal/religious strife that prevents a working democracy from being implemented without massive military backing.  McCain, like Bush, has everything to gain by keeping the US in Iraq.

    When we withdraw, the Iraq government will finally take responsibility. Watch how fast oil production takes off in Iraq when their new government can't rely on our tax money anymore. The bottom line is the longer we stay there, the longer the occupation artificially props up oil prices.

    Whether Obama or McCain believes in the war is less relevant to me than which of the two can get us out of Iraq, and prevent us from starting a new war in Iran.  My vote goes to the Democrat because a Dem president and a Dem Congress will be susceptible to public pressure, and America is tired of our children dying and our money going down the drain.

    Parent

    You forgot to mention (5.00 / 1) (#134)
    by Grace on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:27:50 AM EST
    That Saddam was planning to quit selling oil in Dollars and he was going to switch to Euros.  That had the potential to make other countries not need our dollars, which would have caused the US dollar to crash (because it would no longer be the reserve currency (ie. Petrodollar) for the world.    

    But that plan didn't work out so well because, in the last year, Iran and a few other countries have started selling oil in Euros anyway.  (Hear the sabre rattling at Iran??!!)

    Our currency has been falling for the past several years.  It's value has gone down a lot which is part of the reason why oil and other commodities cost so much.  

    There is no way we are leaving the Middle East and it doesn't matter who is President -- as long as there is oil there.  

    HOWEVER, if everyone decides to sell oil in Euros, no one will need dollars anymore and US currency could collapse.  I don't know what would happen in that situation because it's never happened to us before.  Other countries have suffered currency collapses but they were never the world reserve currency.    

    Parent

    Wow, I've been getting flamed so much (1.00 / 0) (#137)
    by MyLeftMind on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:34:01 AM EST
    I had to recover from the shock of a reasonable response to my post.  I figured this idea would be pooh poohed as conspiracy theory.

    So, has TL talked about this yet?  

    Parent

    I have no idea. (5.00 / 0) (#143)
    by Grace on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:53:34 AM EST
    I haven't been posting here that long.  I only found TL towards the end of Hillary's campaign.  

    Prior to that, I posted on a board full of nasty Obama supporters who kept insisting I was a racist and uneducated for supporting Hillary.    

    Parent

    Here is a serious answer (none / 0) (#203)
    by Politalkix on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 11:58:55 AM EST
    With Obama, you will have a President who has made the decision that America will withdraw from Iraq
    (1) because the humongous amount of money being wasted there can be used to help people in America (health care, education, infrastructure, etc)
    (2) because the war in Iraq is a distraction from the real war against terrorism that should be fought and won, the war in Afghanistan.
    (3) but seek input from his Generals regarding the most strategic way to execute the withdrawal while causing minimum risk to the life of our troops and damage to equipment during the withdrawal phase.

    With McCain, you will have a President who has made the decision that American troops will stay in Iraq for 50 years or 100 years or many decades because
    (1) withdrawal is defeat and a war once started (even an ill conceived one) has to be fought to the end, even if it proves ruinous to the American economy, harms America's actual short and long term security interests and destroys America's good name abroad (even among its allies).
    (2) his vision favors keeping a permanent American base in Iraq because post Saddam Hussein Iraq is no different than post WW2 Germany and Japan (let minutae like huge differences in religious, social and political make-ups of the mentioned countries and their neighbours be glossed over to believe in the analogy).

    What option would people who listen to the debates prefer?

    Parent

    Nice way to put it. (none / 0) (#206)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:29:20 PM EST
    Kerry was faced with the same dilemma, but since he failed to embrace the anti-war position, his situation was similar to Obama's.

    Parent
    Never (5.00 / 0) (#122)
    by IzikLA on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:35:03 AM EST
    I will never shill for McCain nor will I ever vote for him.

    But sorry, that fact, in and of itself, does not give Obama a free pass.

    Parent

    And vice versa I'd hope. (none / 0) (#6)
    by EL seattle on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 10:32:59 PM EST
    I'm sure that both teams have video techs working full time at collecting every version they can get of stump speeches, press statements, and off-the-cuff comments about every topic imaginable.  As we saw with the "bitter" flap, pandering to the interests or collective personality of separate specific audiences can be dangerous in 2008.  Nothing is off the record this year.

    Parent
    off the top of my head (none / 0) (#87)
    by Salo on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:03:42 AM EST
    the GOP have about 10 lethal adverts.

    Parent
    I actually liked his tone tonight (none / 0) (#37)
    by wasabi on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:12:39 PM EST
    He got to reinforce his message that the war was a mistake:  strategic blunder, ill-conceived, blah, blah, blah.  I have the judgement, blah, blah, blah.

    He's following the Republican playbook of never admitting that he changed positions.  It works for them, so why not for us?  Just a little nuance in his positioning.  The other side doesn't do nuance very well.

    Yes, except the direction he's going (5.00 / 0) (#63)
    by Valhalla on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:45:10 PM EST
    McCain will be able to run ads that say 'See, Obama agrees with me on every issue!  Why vote for him when you can have the real thing?'

    Parent
    Very good tone (none / 0) (#79)
    by gyrfalcon on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:54:50 PM EST
    I agree.  But he went on and on and on and on and on and on and....

    His "nuance" undermines way too much of what he's trying to get across.


    Parent

    Lousy, lecturing tone again (5.00 / 2) (#102)
    by Cream City on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:39:30 AM EST
    Did you hear his opening?  Wearily sighing, saying let's go through this again.   Treating the audience -- the media there, but addressing the American public through them -- like eight-year-olds.

    But then, maybe some of you liked daddy talking to you like that.  When you were eight.  But now?

    Parent

    I'm SO SICK (5.00 / 1) (#108)
    by gyrfalcon on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:54:51 AM EST
    of that weary tone.  It's fast becoming as irritating as W's petulance.

    Parent
    Can't listen to him anymore. (5.00 / 1) (#187)
    by Anne on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 09:26:40 AM EST
    I get the same negative visceral reaction I do to Bush.

    He lectures.  He condescends, and the haughty body language doesn't help.

    It irritates the you-know-what out of me.

    Parent

    in 2000 (none / 0) (#58)
    by Salo on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:40:53 PM EST
    there were no publicized crises or overarching security threats, real or imagined.  

    yes pretty much. (none / 0) (#67)
    by Salo on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:47:37 PM EST
    Although, Bush has made it a harder sell than it would normally be.

    I thinnk Obama's expression of patriotism, although intellectually satisfying is really crap politics.  

    "gee shucks this is teh best place on earth."

    leave it a that.

    I strongly believe (none / 0) (#76)
    by Steve M on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:53:45 PM EST
    that the only people who are interested in intellectualizing patriotism are the people who will never vote on patriotism in a million years.

    Parent
    He's got the (none / 0) (#103)
    by Salo on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:42:00 AM EST
    "for all America's faults..." demographic in the bag hasn't he? You could almost predict which way a person can vote on that sentence clause.

    he needs the people with a simple patriotic sense of "I love America because we won ww2!" And he can't quite get that demo right no matter how hard he tries.

    I wonder if you could base an accurate general election poll on that sort of questioning of attitudes.

    Parent

    You're certainly full of pith today (none / 0) (#107)
    by MarkL on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:49:14 AM EST
    Salo. I take it you've been eating your vegemite?

    Parent
    Marmite. (5.00 / 2) (#112)
    by Salo on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:08:59 AM EST
    and beef jerky.

    Parent
    Doo-doo doo-doo (none / 0) (#71)
    by DEM on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:49:52 PM EST
    Because an inflexible unwillingness to respond to changing conditions, even at risk of further endangering lives, is principled?

    I swear to god Rod Serling just walked into my room.

    Ya know, previously when I read Huxley and Orwell and stuff like that, I would scoff and think people couldn't possibly be that delusional.  But then came Obama '08.

    Plan... (none / 0) (#72)
    by jarober on Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:49:57 PM EST
    McCain doesn't have a withdrawal plan because withdrawal is not the end goal - success is the end goal.  With success will come a draw down of troops.  

    Obama has this backwards, and he now knows that he has this backwards.  You can dislike it all you want, but watch him do exactly what Instapundit has been saying for a couple of months now: he'll walk his position back until it's pretty darn close to McCain's position.

    I said months ago that ... (5.00 / 1) (#92)
    by Salo on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:12:49 AM EST
    ...the difference between McCain and Obama would be 80,000 or 60,000 troops respectively. And, I had to retire from Dkos over the issue.  

    "where is your evidence?" the fanatics would say.

    I point to Obama's coss examination of Edwards over residual troops in their last debate.

    Parent

    There was a time on DKos when you could (none / 0) (#156)
    by MO Blue on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 06:04:22 AM EST
    honestly say that none of the Democratic candidates were really going to end the occupation. Not only would there not be much blow back but many of the bigger name people would agree with that assessment.

    That was of course when Edwards was still in the race and before DKos became an Obama 527 site.

    Parent

    Ask Obama (none / 0) (#98)
    by Edgar08 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:26:03 AM EST
    If success is the end goal?

    Parent
    Yes. The question is whose success. (5.00 / 1) (#105)
    by Cream City on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:43:53 AM EST
    And his own success is Obama's end goal.

    Oh, you mean the war?  Secondary.  

    Parent

    NO (none / 0) (#159)
    by Jgarza on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 07:28:34 AM EST
    That is terrible logic, there is no definition for success.  Is that a democracy, the way things are now but with out us troops. or something else?

    Parent
    Polling (none / 0) (#157)
    by Jgarza on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 07:25:51 AM EST
    First let me state that his position in Iraq is unchanged, it has always been nuanced.

    It's funny that they are using this line of attack because polling says that people think both men are flip floppers.  It's actually part of their appeal believe it or not.
    Poll

    That contrasts to Bush who people didn't see that way.  

    On a side note i have to say I really enjoy Taylor Marsh post primary.

    What does Obama stand for? (none / 0) (#182)
    by kempis on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 09:09:51 AM EST
    This is a sincere and non-snarky question.

    What are his core principles? What policies will he fight for?

    Perhaps I'd feel better about voting for him (which I do plan to do) if I knew.

    So maybe some of you who are pleased with him can help by explaining what he stands for.

    Thanks.

    I sense that he is (none / 0) (#199)
    by tben on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 11:17:02 AM EST
    an extremely smart and perceptive man who grew up on the margins of our society because of circumstance and his family background, and who has spent a good part of his life trying to find, define and carve out a place for himself in this society. His instincts along those lines were to seek out education, and then to seek out community, and to build his adult identity in the mix of using his skills and intellegence to help less-advantaged people deal with forces that were operating above their heads.

    It may be easily dismissed because it necessarily is oft-mentioned as biographical filler, but for such a brilliant and articulate young man, a black man in an affirmative action era, to walk away from guaranteed huge money and corporate fast tracking, in order to become a community organizer in a slum, speaks directly to his character and core principles.

    Throughout his career he seems to be working this issue - how does the real world work, and how can regular folks, or poor folks, make it work for them. No doubt that is why he got into politics, because the other obvious way to work this issue is to get the system to bend toward the people.
    When you look at his campaign, the priorities are laid out rather clearly (except, I guess for those who really do not want to see). Readjust the tax code to make it more progressive - including cuts for seniors and the middle class, guarantee universal access to affordable health care, include labor and environmental standards in trade agreements so that boats are lifted in other countries and the outlfow of jobs is reduced, and investing in new manufacturing technologies, especially in the alternative energy sectors - and help insure that America is a major player in this vibrant new industry.

    This is just scratching the surface of course - health care, green energy, tax code adjustment - those are just the biggest of the first-level priorities in the domestic realm. There is a very great many specific proposals in these and related areas that all share the basic sense that the poor and middle class should be given a fairer shake, that certain necessities such as health care and quality education should be locked in, and that the economy should be prodded and supported in moving into directions that will ensure our prosperity while building a cleaner and greener techno base.

    Those seem to be the principles that he has always supported and they seem to be the same as most Democrats have.

    On social matters he seems to be very obviously a liberal - in his bones. How could he not be, given that it is only a liberal attitude that would allow a guy like him to make it to first base in our society. But he is also someone who has always felt a gut level need to be a reconciler - probably also something that comes directly from his background and identity. In the crudest sense, he has had to reconcile his black and white cultural identities within himself, and his foreign experiences with the reality of American life - and I sense that that leads him to see bridge building amongst diverse groups as a good, indeed a necessary project. I imagine that will give an impetus to his foreign policy that will make real the promise of a new approach to multilateralism and relationships of mutual respect around the world.

    Anyway, I dont want to waste space giving an Obama speech here, but I did want to offer you at least a cursory answer to your respectful question (and I do appreciate the tone and sincerity of your question).

    Now, I dont want to be snarky either, but I really do think that your question can easily be answered, and answered to the very much fuller extent that it deserves, by anyone who is sincerely interested in an answer. Through all the media that any candidate uses, speeches, interviews, website, and in Obama's case, two very personal books - its all out there. All the information that one could possibly hope for in order to make their own judgements of the man.

    I really would urge readers of this site to stop listening to the rather narrow and wholly negative take on Obama that has taken root here, and start getting your own info, and assessing it fairly. I think most everyone on the left will conclude that this is a good guy, with lots of smarts, all the right instincts, and the potential at least, to be a really great progressive president.


    Parent

    Very well said (none / 0) (#227)
    by Veracitor on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:38:25 PM EST
    I really would urge readers of this site to stop listening to the rather narrow and wholly negative take on Obama that has taken root here


    Parent
    His policy positions are on his website (none / 0) (#200)
    by TChris on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 11:21:54 AM EST
    Anybody... (none / 0) (#209)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:37:41 PM EST
    ...can have a website with policy choices. I'd say that's about the last place where you will get accurate info on a candidate.

    I support (note the present tense) Hillary Clinton not because her web site made a promise of universal health care, but because she was willing to risk having her name dragged through the mud for the sake of fighting for universal health care once before. She can be trusted. Obama is yet to demonstrate that kind of staying power.

    Parent

    OMFG (none / 0) (#222)
    by Dr Molly on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:21:40 PM EST
    And his actions and words belie them.

    Parent
    Because someone has another (none / 0) (#196)
    by zfran on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 10:22:08 AM EST
    opinion, different from yours on Obama, does not make it "bashing" him. Just as you are free to express your endorsements of him, others are also free to express their concerns about him. Opinions are neither right nor wrong, just what someone thinks. You have selected your candidate, some here have selected to support dems in other ways, some will vote, some will not and the world will keep on spinnin' (I hope).

    Obama wants to keep troops in Iraq (none / 0) (#197)
    by Andreas on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 11:03:13 AM EST
    Even that statement makes clear that Obama wants to keep "combat troops" in Iraq to kill and be killed for (yet another) "16 months".

    And far, far beyond that... (5.00 / 1) (#210)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:41:13 PM EST
    ...because, after these "combat troops" are withdrawn, we are still going to have "trainers", "advisors", and spec ops troops for counterterrorism operations. Which amounts to several tens of thousands of US troops in Iraq for an unspecified, and apparently indefinite, period.

    In other words, even taking Obama plan at face value, the withdrawal claim is a lie.

    Parent

    I have never underestimated (none / 0) (#211)
    by tben on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:43:50 PM EST
    the ability of anyone to spin any conclusion out of any set of facts, based on their original attitude. That is why these "rational arguments" are usually a waste of time.

    People often will not make assumptions based on rational considerations, but rather on emotional ones. Once in place, those assumptions color their interpretation of any and every event that comes along.

    So the interesting question is why the original assumption forms in the first place. I cant begin to wonder what that would be for you.

    So let me just ask you this simple question. What is it about the African American community in Chicago that they are not able to see what someone did to them, the way you can see it (lemme guess here, you are not an African Amercian from Chicago)? Are they all stupid, naive, or blind? Do you really think that your interpretation, coming from who knows where, is more accurate than the interpretation of the people who knew him and worked with him for 20 years?

    I dont think your conclusions are fair, or even make any sense at all.

    You've answered that question... (none / 0) (#212)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:52:58 PM EST
    ...quite well yourself:

    "People often will not make assumptions based on rational considerations, but rather on emotional ones. Once in place, those assumptions color their interpretation of any and every event that comes along."

    Obama simply happens to be very talented at playing these emotional considerations to his political advantage.

    What you wrote, by the way, is a very astute treatment of decisionmaking as it is actually done by us human beings.

    Parent

    so what are the origins (none / 0) (#216)
    by tben on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:00:57 PM EST
    of your hostility?

    Parent
    There was this New Yorker article... (none / 0) (#219)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:04:51 PM EST
    ...that was actually quite friendly to Obama, a part of a series of articles on major candidates of both parties. At the time I still considered myself an Obama voter by default (the argument against Clinton restoration does have merit, IMO). However, that article left me with a weird sense there was no "center" to this candidate, nothing on which I could center my loyalty and support. Which was weird, because in every other case I could easily find reasons to love 'em or hate 'em.

    So I decided that maybe I actually should research this fellow's past myself to see what exactly he represents and stands for, which led me to the conclusions I listed elsewhere.

    Parent

    and I dont think that is a sufficient (none / 0) (#220)
    by tben on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:11:57 PM EST
    answer to my question.

    The statement of mine that you throw back at me refers to assumptions that people make and how they color later interpretations. That formula works pretty well for issues and events that we deal with intellectually. It is a bit much to suspect that these assumptions can stand if there is mounting evidence in the real world that you actually live in personally, that they are wrong.

    If Obama was exploiting or conning people on the South Side, then I dont think it would take too long for them to change their assumptions. Their lives are not academic questions and the evidence would not be based on things that they just heard, or read, but things they actually live.

    Alice Palmer just seems to be upset that Obama stayed in his senate race after she helped to recruit him, then tried to pull the rug out from under him.

    Parent

    True... (none / 0) (#224)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:29:33 PM EST
    ...that is about half of the answer. The other half is the Chicago political machine of which he was part.

    Besides, Obama probably did his level best to ensure his constituents were not kept informed of his activities. To this day he continues to minimize his connection to Rezko, for example.

    So, no, you can't fool people all of the time, but you can fool a lot of people long enough to win a few elections. What Obama has done is no different than any number of politicians, both R and D, have done. Why do you find it surprising? Do you believe that African-American voters are immune to this? In the primaries Obama routinely won 90%+ of the African American vote. Did all of these voters cast their lot with Obama only they carefully researched Obama's record and decided he's the best candidate on the issues?

    Parent

    And, by the way... (none / 0) (#213)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:56:51 PM EST
    ...it's not like there is unanimity of opinion on Obama even in Chicago. Alice Palmer, who helped him get his political start, ended up campaigning on Hillary Clinton's behalf. It would be a gross mistake to assume the African-American community in Obama's neck of Chicago is a monolithic entity.

    Parent
    And finally... (none / 0) (#215)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 12:59:09 PM EST
    ...(oh, who am I kidding) are the facts of Obama's past not as I stated them? Obama did not in fact align himself, for his own political benefit, with a number of shady characters who were more interested in making money off privatizing Chicago's public housing than in improving the living conditions of Obama's constituents?

    Parent
    what does that mean? (none / 0) (#221)
    by tben on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:16:42 PM EST
    he worked with developers? He worked with people in the private sector? People who, almost by definition, are working for their own self-interest? Welcome to the capitalist world...

    What politician, or community organizer, for that matter, can ever accomplish anything without working with people in the private sector? And if some of them turn out to be sleazy, what then? I mean really, your complaint seems to be based on some very unrealistic view of the world.

    Parent

    Obama himself... (none / 0) (#225)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:31:23 PM EST
    ...said it was a very "boneheaded" decision on his behalf. I find it hard to believe he's sufficiently naive not to have known at the time who Rezko was. Obama may be many things, but naive is not one of them.

    Parent
    Oh yeah... (none / 0) (#217)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:01:02 PM EST
    ...how do you know you are the one making the rational argument, and others (me, specifically) falling prey to emotion, on basis of assumptions formed who knows where?

    Mere fact of my disagreement is insufficient evidence.

    Parent

    hey, I'll fess up (none / 0) (#223)
    by tben on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:23:43 PM EST
    to the fact that I probably have an emotionally based desire to think well of the guy. I have been through these kind of things so many times - I fully understand that no pol will ever be terribly close to what I really want - but there is a full spectrum out there of good and bad.

    I make a gut level (hence emotional in part) judgement that this guy has a real chance of being a good one. That is by no means a final determination, but for now, it holds. Its probably based on some sense that he manages to analyze situations in ways I respect, he is introspective in the way I tend to be, and honest with himself in ways that I admire, he formulates his view of things in ways that resonate with me, he seems to have the same values in terms of his family, and his work in his community, that I have, so my gut must have added it all up and concluded - yeah, I like this guy.

    Though I dont agree with everything he comes down on, he is holding up remarkably well for this time in the cycle. I was never much of fan of Carter until after he became president, and at this point in '92 I was already reaching for the clothespins. So I remain pretty stoked.


    Parent

    In that case... (none / 0) (#226)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:36:16 PM EST
    ...I hope your expectations will be fulfilled, and then some. If I am proven wrong you'll get bragging rights for having been correct on Obama all along. I certainly would love Obama to be who you think he is. It's just that, from my perspective, there have been way too many warning signs along the way to remain optimistic about him.  

    Parent
    OK, I'm convinced! (none / 0) (#228)
    by Veracitor on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:42:05 PM EST
    I'm voting for McCain because he doesn't do nuance.

    Thank you, fellow liberals.

    There's nothing wrong... (none / 0) (#229)
    by pmj6 on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 01:50:01 PM EST
    ...with nuance. But let's not confuse it with double-talk.

    It's not for nothing Obama says he'll "begin to withdraw" US troops from Iraq. He's carefully avoiding to committing himself to completing the process.

    Yike, he hasn't even been elected yet! (none / 0) (#230)
    by mrmobi on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 02:54:53 PM EST
    It's not for nothing Obama says he'll "begin to withdraw" US troops from Iraq. He's carefully avoiding to committing himself to completing the process.

    So, if you were the nominee, you'd just flat out promise a total withdrawal before you were elected, and without any consultation with the commanding generals, the State Dept, et al., right?

    He can't do what rabid anti-war types want him to do because he won't know what the situation on the ground is until January 20, 2009.

    I know you think he's the devil incarnate, not a democrat, closet muslim, Chicago gangster and such, but do you really expect him to set firm deadlines right now?

    Oh, that's right, you do! Because you'd like him to lose in November. Sorry, I keep forgetting that lots of people in here are "special" democrats who require a "perfect" candidate (or at the least one who can see into the future). Good luck with that.

    That's a realistic attitude... (none / 0) (#231)
    by mrmobi on Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 05:34:56 PM EST
    I probably have an emotionally based desire to think well of the guy. I have been through these kind of things so many times - I fully understand that no pol will ever be terribly close to what I really want

    Obama first appeared on my radar in a debate with the execrable Alan Keyes, where he handled himelf with great dignity and intelligence. Since then, I haven't seen much change in either his positions, or in his behavior. I have no emotional investment in his candidacy, though. I just think he's the right guy for the job at this time.

    I would note that I would have happily (very happily) voted for Clinton, Dodd, Edwards or even Biden, had one of them been the winner in the primaries. If I thought that Obama had somehow "stolen" the primary, I would not hesitate to decry such behavior. But, to me, that position simply defies reason, and is risible.

    On inauguration day, the President pledges to "preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States." That Obama is a Constitutional scholar probably doesn't hurt. That one of the cornerstones of his overall philosophy is transparency in government is also encouraging.

    Obama is far from perfect, as he frequently points out, but he's the strongest Democratic Presidential candidate I've seen in decades, and he's as close to a progressive that we're going to get in this country, at least for now.

    When progressives can make the case that conservatism has been a massive fail for the middle-class in a way that resonates with voters, maybe we'll get a Democratic candidate who is perfect in all the progressive positions and still electable. Till that day comes (and I very much doubt it will), I'm going to continue to vote for the Democratic nominee (you know, the one who 18 million Democrats voted for in this primary, and who won the required number of delegates, according to the rules of the Party). And remember, I'm from Chicago, so, according to someone here, I'll vote early and often (it's the "Chicago Way.")

    I learned about politics at the knee of my Scottish grandmother, who told me, with regard to supporting a candidate, that at some point "you have to choose," and "when you do, you give it your all." She did that for Adlai Stevenson, and I feel the same way about about Barack Obama.